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TEMPERATURE ON KOREAN PENINSULA SET TO RISE AFTER NORTH'S MISSILE TESTS


People watch a TV broadcasting file footage of North Korea firing what appeared
to be a ballistic missile, in Seoul, South Korea, on Feb 27, 2022. PHOTO:
REUTERS
Nirmal Ghosh
US Bureau Chief
Updated
Mar 13, 2022, 8:13 PM SGT
Published
Mar 11, 2022, 5:03 AM SGT
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WASHINGTON - North Korea's two recent ballistic missile launches were meant to
test elements of its new long-range system, representing a "serious escalation",
the United States has said. 

After careful analysis, the US has concluded that Pyongyang's tests on Feb 26
and March 4 "involved a relatively new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM)
system that (North Korea) is developing," a senior administration official told
journalists on Thursday (March 10) in Washington.

But the official said the two tests were not in the same range as the three ICBM
tests conducted in 2017.



"This is an ICBM-capable platform," the senior official said. "But these
launches themselves, these tests themselves, did not demonstrate ICBM range and
distance."

They were "likely to test elements of this new system before the DPRK conducts a
launch in full range, which they will potentially attempt to disguise as a space
launch", the official said, referring to the country by its official name the
Democratic People's Republic.

Separately, South Korea's military on Friday said it had detected unspecified
activity to restore some tunnels at Punggye-ri, the North’s only known nuclear
test site, which were demolished when it was closed in 2018.




The US Indo Pacific Command has ordered "intensified intelligence surveillance
and reconnaissance collection activities in the Yellow Sea, as well as enhanced
readiness among our ballistic missile defence forces in the region" the US
official said. 

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The US Treasury was expected to announce new action as well, to prevent North
Korea from accessing "foreign items and technology that enable it to advance
prohibited weapons programmes". 

The launches violated United Nations Security Council resolutions and risk
destabilising regional security, the official said. And "unlike its past tests,
the DPRK tried to hide these escalatory steps".

"We continue to seek diplomacy and we are prepared to meet (the North Korean
regime) without preconditions," he said, reiterating that the US and its allies
shared the objective of "complete denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula".



US President Joe Biden had made clear that he was open to meeting North Korean
leader Kim Jong Un "when there is a working agreement on the table, which will
need to be based on working- level negotiation… (but) the DPRK continues to not
respond", he said.

The announcement came just hours after 61-year-old conservative Yoon Suk-yeol
won a closely fought presidential election in South Korea.

A former anti-corruption prosecutor, he favours a more robust approach to North
Korea. 

Remote video URL

More On This Topic
South Korea's president-elect Yoon Suk-yeol to teach 'rude boy' Kim Jong Un some
manners
South Korea's new president Yoon Suk-yeol faces myriad diplomatic challenges

The outgoing President Moon Jae-in government "volunteered to play middleman
between the US and North Korea but was dumped by both in the end", Mr Yoon said
in a pre-election Facebook post.

This year alone, North Korea has conducted a record-breaking 11 weapons tests.

All this – and the lesson of the Ukraine invasion – has analysts bracing for a
rise in the temperature of North-South relations.

The lesson of Ukraine does not help the South, or the US. Ukraine gave up
nuclear weapons in the 1990s as part of a security deal when the erstwhile
Soviet Union of which it was a part, fragmented.

"Watching this crisis, Kim Jong-un can only calculate that, if Ukraine had kept
their nuclear weapons, maybe Russia would not be attacking it right now," Dr Sue
Mi Terry, director of the Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean
History and Public Policy at the Wilson Center, told a post-election panel
hosted by the Center for Strategic and International Studies .

Remote video URL

More On This Topic
North Korea will launch spy satellites to monitor actions by US, its allies,
says Kim Jong Un
North Korea conducts ninth missile test of the year ahead of South Korea
election

"Secondly, the Biden administration, and the world, is completely distracted.
Literally there's no reason right now for North Korea to not take advantage of
this and launch more provocations, which they were going to do anyway - even an
ICBM or a nuclear test."

The US would be happy to have an ally who is now more eager to strengthen
deterrence, said Dr Duyeon Kim, Seoul-based Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Indo
Pacific Programme of the Centre for a New American Security.

When North Korea ramps up provocation, there will be more hardline voices in
South Korea, even wanting their own nuclear weapons, especially if they see that
Washington is preoccupied with the crisis in Europe and other foreign and
domestic issues, she said.

"If they feel the Biden administration is not paying sufficient attention to
North Korea's problem, those voices for nuclear weapons are going to crescendo"
she said. "Washington will have to deal with that."

More On This Topic
Construction spotted at North Korea nuclear test site for first time since 2018:
Report
North Korea plans 'monster' missile launch by April: Analysts


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MCI (P) 031/10/2021, MCI (P) 032/10/2021. Published by SPH Media Limited, Co.
Regn. No. 202120748H. Copyright © 2021 SPH Media Limited. All rights reserved.

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