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Sign In CoStar Insight OFFICE INVENTORY IS EXPANDING FASTEST IN CENTRAL TEXAS REGION HAS GROWN BY 4.7 MILLION SQUARE FEET OVER THE PAST YEAR By Danny Khalil and Israel Linares CoStar Analytics September 26, 2023 | 11:25 A.M. Austin and San Antonio in Central Texas are two of the fastest-growing office markets by square footage in the country, due in part to the rise in speculative development projects. Over 4.7 million square feet of office space was completed collectively over the past 12 months in the Central Texas region. The figure is comparable to the 5.1 million square feet built in Dallas-Fort Worth, which is double the combined size of Austin and San Antonio's markets. Austin's expansion over the past year was equivalent to 2.3% of inventory, while San Antonio's came in at 1.9%. Encouraged by corporate relocations and expansions in prior years, developers were active in starting construction projects from late 2019 through early 2022. The 102,000-square-foot Texas Bankers Association Building opened this year in downtown Austin. (Saeid Zare/CoStar) AUSTIN Austin has consistently ranked among the nation’s leaders for office construction over the past nine years. The market has held the first or second spot in this category since the first quarter of 2020. The trend shows no signs of slowing in the coming year. Austin has the most space under construction of any major market when adjusted for the size of inventory, at 5.3%. As a result, Austin is expected to maintain its status as the fastest-expanding market in the United States by the end of 2024. The quick pace is attributable to a substantial amount of speculative development, with about half of the recently completed space still available for lease. The rate of lease-ups for projects currently underway mirrors the trend, with 55% of the 7 million square feet under construction still without a signed tenant. Recently completed projects in the East Austin and Northeast areas alone have contributed 1 million square feet of office space to the market. The Alpha Building in the Mueller Business District stands out as the largest addition in East Austin. Shorenstein Properties completed that 265,000-square-foot building last year and sold it to the Teacher Retirement System of Texas for its new headquarters for $138.1 million, according to CoStar data. Meanwhile, Parmer 5.1 and 5.2 have added 387,000 square feet of high-quality office space. The addition of unleased space during a period of waning demand is expected to exert additional pressure on an already elevated vacancy rate. The vacancy rate could surpass 20% by the mid-point of 2024, making it the second highest in the nation, trailing only San Francisco, according to CoStar’s base case forecast. San Antonio’s Jefferson Bank Building also opened this year. (Katelyn Keiser/CoStar) SAN ANTONIO San Antonio is a smaller office market than Austin but is one of the nation’s fastest growing, helping to round out the top two office markets in the country for inventory expansion over the past 12 months. The single largest office development over the preceding 12-month period was the North Rim Corporate Campus, the new home of WellMed Medical Group. Overseeing a network of more than 16,000 doctors offices across both Texas and Florida, WellMed has doubled down on its presence on the city’s far northwest side, adding more than 700,000 square feet to the local office market this year. Jefferson Bank's headquarters also contributed a sizeable amount of new space to the local office market. Moving from its previous location in the central business district to the rapidly expanding Pearl district, Jefferson Bank’s headquarters added 232,000 square feet to a section of Broadway Street now being referred to as San Antonio’s financial district. This development joins Oxbow, home of CBRE’s local offices, and Credit Human Tower along this stretch of Lower Broadway between Brooklyn Avenue and Josephine Street. San Antonio’s office development scene is likely to cool slightly as the market moves into the final few months of 2023, as most major projects have been completed at this time. With the exception of WatersEdge, there appears to be no speculative office development in the eight-county metropolitan area with more than 100,000 square feet. A lack of large, speculative projects will likely help with the rising vacancy situation moving forward, which should support the office market in Central Texas more broadly as it seeks to balance itself amid ongoing challenges. Follow us on Social Media Have feedback or questions? Email us at news@costar.com