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THE BIGGEST MOVIES COMING TO THEATERS IN NOVEMBER 2023

Exhibition Features • Jesse Rifkin • October 31 2023
Images courtesy: Disney, Lionsgate, Disney

A new Disney animated musical, a new Marvel Cinematic Universe installment, a
new Hunger Games prequel. With 14 wide releases, by Boxoffice PRO‘s count, this
might mark the largest amount of new wide releases of any post-pandemic month to
date.

Here are the biggest films of November 2023, listed chronologically by wide
release date.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WHAT HAPPENS LATER


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 3

Premise: Bleecker Street’s romantic comedy stars Meg Ryan and David Duchovny as
two exes who run into each other at an airport. When a massive snowstorm cancels
both their outbound flights and traps them in the terminal, they decide to spend
the night together. (No, not like “that.”)

Ryan also directs.

Box office: It’s doubtful either of these two leads still remain big box office
draws, with both their fames peaking in the 1990s.

Last year’s comparable romantic comedy about two similarly-aged exes reuniting,
2022’s Ticket to Paradise starring George Clooney and Julia Roberts, earned
$68.2M. But with less bankable leads and a smaller distributor than Universal,
Later will be lucky to reach anything more than a fraction of that box office.




THE MARSH KING’S DAUGHTER


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 3

Premise: Lionsgate’s and Roadside Attractions’ psychological thriller stars
Daisy Ridley, of Star Wars sequel trilogy fame, as a woman trying to confront
and possibly kill her estranged father who’s escaped from prison, before he can
kidnap her young daughter.

Neil Burger (Limitless, The Upside, Divergent) directs. Based on the novel by
Karen Dionne.

Box office: A psychological thriller with a female protagonist, taking place in
a rural setting, based on a bestselling 2010s novel? Sounds like 2022’s Where
the Crawdads Sing, which earned $90.2M. However, Daughter seems likely to reach
only a fraction of that, maybe even less than one-quarter.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




PRISCILLA


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 3

Premise: A24’s biopic shifts the focus from the iconic Elvis Presley to his wife
Priscilla, played by relative newcomer Cailee Spaeny alongside Jacob Elordi
(television’s “Euphoria”) as the King. Sofia Coppola (Lost in Translation)
writes and directs.

Elvis and Priscilla Presley married in 1967 and divorced in 1973. Priscilla is
still alive today at 78, serving as an executive producer on the film. 

Box office: 2022’s smash biopic Elvis ($151.0M) is a poor comparison here, since
that had several factors going for it that Priscilla lacks: a focus on one of
the world’s most famous musical artists, a major distributor like Warner Bros.,
plus a lot more fun musical numbers.

Better comparisons might be found in the works of Coppola, all of whose
theatrical releases besides Translation have earned less than $20 million.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




THE MARVELS


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 10

Premise: Disney and Marvel Studios’ newest Marvel Cinematic Universe entry sees
Brie Larson return as as Captain Marvel, now teaming up alongside Iman Vellani
as teenage superhero Ms. Marvel (from the 2022 Disney+ series of the same name)
and Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau, who was first introduced in the 2021
Disney+ series “WandaVision”.

Nia DaCosta (2021’s Candyman) directs, taking over from Anna Boden and Ryan
Fleck who jointly directed 2019’s Captain Marvel.

Box office: Some speculate this could become the lowest-grossing MCU entry ever,
a status currently held by 2008’s The Incredible Hulk with $134.8M. (That film
was the MCU’s second installment, coming out before the franchise grew into the
cultural phenomenon it would later become.)

2021’s Eternals marks the MCU’s “modern” low with $164.8M. In a worst-case
scenario, The Marvels could fall below that.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




JOURNEY TO BETHLEHEM


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 10

Premise: In anticipation of the holiday season, Sony Pictures and Affirm Films
release this pop-musical retelling the biblical story of Mary, Joseph, and the
birth of Jesus. Perhaps you’ve heard of it.

Box office: Don’t sleep on faith-based titles. In addition to the obvious
juggernaut that was this summer’s Sound of Freedom, The Blind spent two weekends
in the box office top five in September, while After Life premiered in fourth
place on the final frame of October.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




THE HOLDOVERS


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 10

Premise: Focus Features’ comedy-drama stars Paul Giamatti as an unlikable
history teacher at a boys-only boarding school in 1970, forced to confront his
vulnerable side when he’s assigned to remain at school over the holiday break to
look after students who can’t go home.

Alexander Payne (Sideways, The Descendants, About Schmidt) directs.

Box office: It’s almost certain that The Holdovers will fail to reach the level
of Payne’s biggest box office hits, like 2002’s About Schmidt with $65.0M,
2004’s Sideways with $71.5M, and 2011’s The Descendants with $82.6M.

A more realistic best-case scenario here might be Payne’s most recent theatrical
release: 2017’s Downsizing with $24.4M.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




THE HUNGER GAMES: THE BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS & SNAKES


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17

Premise: Lionsgate’s action drama prequel reveals the origin story of how the
Hunger Games competition began. Four 2010s films depicted the dystopian battle
royale, in which teenagers and children are selected to fight to the death.

Rachel Zegler (Steven Spielberg’s 2021 West Side Story) stars alongside Viola
Davis and Peter Dinklage in a tale taking place 64 years before The Hunger
Games.

Francis Collins, who helmed the original franchise’s second (Catching Fire),
third (Mockingjay Part 1), and fourth (Mockingjay Part 2) films, returns to
direct.


Based on the bestselling pandemic-era 2020 novel by Suzanne Collins, who also
penned the original Hunger Games novels.

Box office: The original franchise’s box office sputtered out on the final two
films, particularly the final one. While the first two earned a huge $408.0M and
then an even-larger $424.6M, the third declined -20% to $337.1M, with the fourth
falling a further -16% to $281.7M.

In terms of spinoff prequels, the first Fantastic Beasts finished -38% off from
the final Harry Potter, while the first Hobbit ended -20% off from the final
Lord of the Rings. If Songbirds fell -20% from the last Hunger Games film, it
would make around $225M, while a -38% drop would mean around $175M.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




TROLLS BAND TOGETHER


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17

Premise: Universal’s animated threequel sees return of Justin Timberlake and
Anna Kendrick to the recording booth. In this one, with a premise referencing
Timberlake’s boy band past as a member of *NSync, his character Branch seeks to
rescue his kidnapped brother and reunite his childhood boy band BroZone.

Jointly directed by Walt Dohrn, who co-directed the prior two installments, and
Tim Heitz, who directed 2021’s NBC animated television special “Trolls Holiday
in Harmony.”

It also boasts the first new song (“Better Place”) by *NSync since “Girlfriend”
in 2002.

Box office: 2016’s original Trolls earned $153.7M, though this installment
appears poised to fall short of that.

2020’s sequel Trolls World Tour, originally intended for theatrical exclusivity,
was instead released in April 2020 during the Covid pandemic on VOD (video on
demand).

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




THANKSGIVING


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17

Premise: Sony Pictures’ Thanksgiving-themed horror release follows a serial
killer who dresses up like a Pilgrim and kills victims in Plymouth,
Massachusetts.

Eli Roth (The House with a Clock in its Walls and 2018’s Death Wish) directs.

Box office: It’s unclear if this film’s release—a mere six days before
Thanksgiving proper—will help or hurt it, the latter by potentially cutting into
its post-Thanksgiving grosses. Avoiding a similar fate is why many Halloween
films come out in late September or early October, and many Christmas films come
out in late November or early December: to give themselves a full month or more
of earnings before their onscreen holiday arrives in real life.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NEXT GOAL WINS


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17

Premise: Searchlight Pictures’ based-on-a-true-story sports comedy stars Michael
Fassbender, departing from his usual typecasting in a rare comedic role, as a
coach sent to American Samoa to lead “the world’s worst soccer team” in their
attempt to qualify for the 2014 World Cup.

Taika Waititi (Thor: Ragnarok, Jojo Rabbit, Thor: Love and Thunder) directs.

Box office: The famous American hesitance towards soccer has traditionally been
reflected at the domestic box office. Compared to $100M+ smashes about football,
basketball, and baseball, the biggest 21st century films about soccer include
2005’s Kicking and Screaming with $52.8M and 2003’s Bend It Like Beckham with
$32.5M.

Though a basketball instead of a soccer film, another recent sports comedy about
a team which seemingly stood no chance was March’s Champions with $16.2M.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WISH


WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 22

Premise: Disney releases a major animated film on Thanksgiving week almost every
year. This time around, it’s an original animated musical starring Ariana
DeBose, in her first major film since winning the Academy Award for Best
Supporting Actress for 2021’s West Side Story. Chris Pine voices the villain.

Jointly directed by Chris Buck (who previously co-directed Frozen, Frozen
II, Surf’s Up, and 1999’s animated Tarzan) and Fawn Veerasunthorn.

Box office: The film Wishes to replicate the box office of such
Thanksgiving-released Disney animated musical smashes as 2013’s Frozen with
$400.9M, 2019’s Frozen II with $477.3M, and 2016’s Moana with $248.7M.

The studio’s 2021 Thanksgiving animated musical release Encanto underperformed
theatrically with $96.0M, as Covid’s surging Omicron variant kept some portion
of the would-be audience away.

(The film later found a larger streaming audience on Disney+, which helped
propel “We Don’t Talk About Bruno” into becoming only the second Disney animated
song ever to top the Billboard Hot 100 chart.)

Disney is adopting a novel marketing strategy here, releasing one Wish song
online per week in the run-up to the film’s debut. Streaming counts for tracks
“This Wish” and “This is the Thanks I Get?!” have been lackluster so far, which
may be an ill omen when it comes to box office…  though the songs may still take
off once audiences see them on screen.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NAPOLEON


WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 22

Premise: Apple Studios’ historical drama, released by Sony Pictures, stars
Joaquin Phoenix as the French dictator and military general Napoleon Bonaparte.

Vanessa Kirby (Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part 1 and Academy
Award-nominated for Pieces of a Woman) costars as his wife Josephine.

Ridley Scott (The Martian, Gladiator, Black Hawk Down, Blade Runner, Alien)
directs.

This marks Apple Studios’ second release to receive an exclusive theatrical run
before later dropping on their streaming service Apple TV+, after October’s
Killers of the Flower Moon. (Third will be February’s upcoming action comedy
Argylle.)

Box office: To the extent that Killers of the Flower Moon is an apt
comparison—as another adult-centered drama that takes place in the past and is
released by Apple Studios—that film appears on track to likely earn somewhere
between $50M and $80M.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




SALTBURN


WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 22

Premise: MGM and Amazon Studios’ drama thriller stars Barry Keoghan, in his
first major film role since his Academy Award Best Supporting Actor nomination
for 2022’s The Banshees of Inisherin, as a college student who spends a summer
at his classmate’s titular sprawling estate.

There, he’s drawn into a series of complications with an eclectic cast of
characters played by Jacob Elordi, Rosamund Pike, and Richard E. Grant.

Written and directed by Emerald Fennell, in her first film since 2020’s
Promising Young Woman, for which she was nominated for the Academy Award for
Best Director and won for Best Original Screenplay.

Box office: This isn’t the type of film that’s designed to make big bucks. A
best-case, though unlikely, box office scenario might be the similar “hijinks
ensue at a luxury retreat for the rich” film The Menu (2022) with $38.5M.

Images courtesy: Disney, Lionsgate, Disney

Journey to Bethlehem Napoleon Next Goal Wins Priscilla Saltburn Thanksgiving The
Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes The Holdovers The Hunger Games: The Ballad of
Songbirds and Snakes The Marsh King's Daughter The Marvels Trolls Band Together
What Happens Later Wish

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