www.icis.com Open in urlscan Pro
107.154.192.69  Public Scan

URL: https://www.icis.com/explore/resources/news/2023/04/14/10524881/topic-page-coronavirus-oil-price-direction-impact-on-...
Submission: On April 25 via manual from FR — Scanned from FR

Form analysis 3 forms found in the DOM

GET /explore/

<form method="GET" action="/explore/">
  <input type="text" name="s" class="form-control rounder-sm" value="" placeholder="Search ICIS">
  <button type="submit" class="search-button"><i class="custom-icon icon-05-search"></i></button>
</form>

GET /explore/

<form method="GET" action="/explore/">
  <input type="text" name="s" class="form-control rounder-sm" value="" placeholder="Search ICIS">
  <button type="submit" class="btn position-absolute">
    <i class="custom-icon icon-search icon-05-search"></i>
  </button>
</form>

GET /explore/

<form method="GET" action="/explore/">
  <input type="text" class="form-control" id="search-input" aria-describedby="searchHelp" name="s" value="" placeholder="Search ICIS">
  <button type="submit" class="btn hide-arrow hide-anim">
    <i class="custom-icon icon-search icon-05-search"></i>
  </button>
</form>

Text Content

Customer Login
Buy Now

 * Commodities
   
   Understand market developments and complex data and what they mean to you.
   
   
   MARKETS
   
    * Chemicals
    * Polypropylene (PP)
    * Polyethylene (PE)
    * Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET)
    * Recycled PET
    * Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC)
    * Ethylene
    * Mixed plastic waste
   
   
    
   
    * Energy
    * Natural gas
    * LNG
    * Hydrogen
    * Base oils
    * Crude oil & refined products
    * Fertilizers
    * Ammonia
   
   Don’t see the commodity you’re looking for?
   Click here to use our commodity finder
   
   Commodity finder
 * Solutions
   
   Thousands of decisions are taken every day supported by ICIS data.
   
   
    SERVICES
   
    * Pricing & commentary
    * ICIS analytics
    * Supply & demand database
    * Supply & demand outlooks
    * Pricing intelligence
    * Price forecasts
    * Consulting
    * View all services
   
   
   SECTORS
   
    * Sustainability
    * Packaging
    * Finance
    * Power
   
   FUELLING YOUR POSSIBLE
   
   Intelligence supporting the road to decarbonisation
   
   Read more
 * Insights
   
   Access a host of content brought to you by ICIS Experts from around the
   world.
   
   
   RESOURCES
   
    * ICIS Petrochemical Index (IPEX)
    * Webinar library
    * Podcast library
    * View all resources
   
   
   NEWS & UPDATES
   
    * News library
    * Industry updates
    * Blogs

 * Events & Training
   
   View upcoming events and training courses produced by ICIS for the industry.
   
   
   EVENTS
   
    * Conferences
   
   
   TRAINING
   
    * Training Courses

 * About
   
   Connecting markets and data, enabling customers to make smarter business
   decisions.
   
   
   WHO WE ARE
   
    * What we do
    * Reports glossary
    * Publishing schedule
    * ICIS benchmarking Europe BV
    * Press releases
    * Compliance & Methodology
    * ICIS Power Players Awards
    * Innovation Awards
   
   
   GET IN TOUCH
   
    * Contact us
   
   “ICIS price forecasts have helped us allocate resources smartly and
   efficiently, to anticipate price changes, and to buy PP at favourable prices.
   The reports have saved our internal team a lot of time and effort when
   analysing pricing trends.”
   
   Sante Serrecchia, Administrative & Purchasing Manager, Ondaplast
   
   



Home News TOPIC PAGE: Coronavirus, oil price direction – impact on chemicals


TOPIC PAGE: CORONAVIRUS, OIL PRICE DIRECTION – IMPACT ON CHEMICALS

Will Beacham

21-Apr-2023

Jump to

Full story
Related news
Related content
Contact us
SHARE THIS
 * 
 * 
 * 
 * 

China’s consumption recovery will be the key focal point for oil markets for the
rest of the year, as attention shifts towards demand growth following the shock
move by OPEC and its allies earlier this week to further cut supply.

The Chinese economy grew by a quicker pace of 4.5% year on year in the first
quarter of 2023, up from 2.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022.

Since the surge in crude prices in late March and early April, which was
heightened by the surprise OPEC+ cut announcement, oil prices have eased in
response to muted demand for oil products in Asia. Refiners in Asia outside
China are now considering refinery run cuts amid concerns over resultant
declines in refining margins.

Nonetheless, China’s oil demand in 2023 is expected to post a strong growth from
2022. The country will account for more than 47% of the projected 2023 global
oil demand growth of around 2m bbl/day, according to the International Energy
Agency (IEA).

With the last wave of new capacity additions and easing of logistics
constraints, the US petrochemical sector has a clear path to boosting exports to
new records in 2023.

Even with a recessionary global economic outlook dampening demand overseas and
capacity surging in China, the US cost advantage is simply too great to hold
back the floodgates.

For China, the world’s second-biggest economy and Asia’s largest, GDP growth
forecasts were maintained – at 5.2% in 2023 and a slowdown to 4.5% in 2024. The
economy posted a 3.0% growth in 2022, according to the latest IMF estimates.

Based on IMF’s projections, global growth will bottom out at 2.8% this year
before rising modestly to 3% next year. The forecast for 2024 was lower than the
previous estimate of 2.9%.

Updated on 21 April 2023

On this topic page we analyse the impact of coronavirus and oil price dynamics
on chemical markets and bring together the latest news reported by ICIS. 

Scroll down to see the latest interactive graphics, podcasts and videos. 

Click here to register for regular updates to help you navigate these
challenging times.



LATEST HEADLINES (LAST UPDATED AT 05:00 GMT ON 21 APRIL 2023)

NSIGHT: Hope for 2023 European construction market recovery falters as spring
demand uptick fails to materialise
By Nicole Simpson 19-Apr-23 20:52 LONDON (ICIS)–Since late 2022, chemicals
players have been hopeful that better demand is just around the corner but
optimism is faltering as economic conditions remain challenging and spring
construction demand has failed to ignite.

INSIGHT: Plastics, petchems in Europe still waiting for construction season, Q2
may be reality check
By Vicky Ellis 20-Apr-23 21:45 LONDON (ICIS)–As warmer, sunnier days grow more
frequent, Europe’s construction industry should be ramping up for a busy period.
But the season is proving a disappointment, with weaker demand across a wide
range of petrochemical and plastics

EU chems trade surplus for Jan-Feb 2023 rises on previous year
By Morgan Condon 20-Apr-23 21:54 LONDON (ICIS)–The EU chemicals sector trade
balance increased in January and February compared to the previous year,
according to the latest data from Eurostat on Thursday. Imports decreased during
the period, but exports to countries outside the of the EU showed marginal
gains.

North America EO operating rates to recover with new derivatives capacity – CDI
By Joseph Chang 17-Apr-23 19:33 MONTCLAIR, New Jersey (ICIS)–North America
ethylene oxide (EO) operating rates are poised to recover with new derivatives
capacity starting up in the coming years and a recovery in China, a Chemical
Data (CDI) analyst said.

Global oil demand growth hopes pinned on faltering Chinese economy
By Barney Gray 12-Apr-23 18:42 LONDON (ICIS)–Chinese government data for March,
published earlier this month, indicated that domestic consumer demand is weak
and the manufacturing sector was under pressure at the end of Q1, which could
hinder the anticipated China-led growth in global oil demand.

ExxonMobil’s Singapore resid upgrade project on track for 2025 start-up
By Nurluqman Suratman 12-Apr-23 14:21 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–ExxonMobil is on track to
start commercial production at its latest upgrade project for lubricant base
stocks in Singapore in 2025 after facing construction delays due to the
pandemic, according to a company official.

IMF keeps developing Asia 2023 growth forecast at 5.3%; trims India projections
By Nurluqman Suratman 12-Apr-23 13:23 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The International
Monetary Fund (IMF) has kept its 2023 growth forecast for developing Asia at
5.3% but trimmed its forecast for next year amid rising risks in global
financial conditions.

Japan’s Asahi Kasei cuts medium-term income targets as demand slows
By Nurluqman Suratman 11-Apr-23 18:35 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Japanese chemicals major
Asahi Kasei on Tuesday slashed its medium-term operating income target, citing
heavy blows from prolonged semiconductor shortages, stagnant demand due to
lockdowns in China, and high prices of feedstock and fuel.

INSIGHT: China LDPE supply likely to exceed demand all this year
By Joanne Wang 13-Apr-23 14:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The supply of low density
polyethylene (LDPE) in China is likely to exceed demand for the remainder of
this year putting severe pressure on prices. Domestic prices plunged to a
32-month low on 7 April caused mainly by increased domestic production and
destocking by foreign suppliers at the end of 2022.

INSIGHT: US chemical earnings ‘rebound’ in H2 may disappoint
By Joseph Chang 11-Apr-23 06:16 NEW YORK (ICIS)–Approaching Q1 earnings season,
players will be watching closely for signs of a sustainable recovery from the Q4
trough ravaged by inventory destocking. While results through 2023 should
certainly bounce from a horrendous Q4, they may well disappoint, given
deteriorating macroeconomic indicators.

UK car sales hit post-pandemic peak in March on better supply
By Morgan Condon 05-Apr-23 18:09 LONDON (ICIS)–UK car sales rose to their
highest level since before the COVID-19 pandemic in March, according to the
latest data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) on
Wednesday.

INSIGHT: Asia petrochemical demand and pricing could be challenged this year
compared to 2022
By Jimmy Zhang 05-Apr-23 15:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s petrochemical industry
growth this year could be more subdued than earlier projections, according to
participants in an ICIS webinar late last month.

INSIGHT: Crude oil jump not likely to kick start petrochemicals trend
By Nigel Davis 04-Apr-23 23:55 LONDON (ICIS)–The OPEC+ decision driven increase
in crude oil prices on Monday puts upward pressure on oil products and
petrochemicals prices in what remains an uncertain demand environment.

China’s demand recovery remains focal point for oil markets – analysts
By Nurluqman Suratman 04-Apr-23 15:12 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s consumption
recovery will be the key focal point for oil markets for the rest of the year,
as attention shifts towards demand growth following the shock move by OPEC and
its allies earlier this week to further cut supply.

SE Asian NBR dented by slower buying, demand outlook murky
By Ai Teng Lim 30-Mar-23 15:35 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Spot discussions in southeast
Asia for acrylonitrile butadiene rubber (NBR) are under pressure from waning
buying interest, and trade liquidity may stay curbed in the near term if buyers
and sellers remain divided in their pricing outlook.

AFPM ’23: US construction season may be late, slow – Huntsman
By Al Greenwood 29-Mar-23 04:11 SAN ANTONIO (ICIS)–Early signs in the US are
pointing to a residential construction season that will be later and slower than
typical, the CEO of Huntsman said on Tuesday.

Asia fatty acids market to remain flat in near term on uncertainties
By Helen Yan 28-Mar-23 15:59 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s fatty acid demand is
expected to remain flat in the near term as buyers retreat from the market and
adopt a cautious stance, given the uncertainties and weak macro-economic
conditions.

INSIGHT: US recycled plastics industry continues to navigate changes in global
trade according to latest statistics
By Emily Friedman 28-Mar-23 01:41 HOUSTON (ICIS)–Though competitive recycled
resin imports continue to pressure the domestic US recycled plastics market as
freight rates improve, Q4 and full-year 2022 US import and export data of
plastic scrap show a setback in overall import volume despite the recent trend.

AFPM ’23: With supply chain constraints largely over, freight costs expected to
trend lower
By Adam Yanelli 26-Mar-23 23:19 SAN ANTONIO (ICIS)–Participants in the US
chemicals industry have been coping with high costs for transporting products
over the past two years because of persistent supply chain constraints brought
on by the COVID-19 pandemic.

AFPM ’23 – INSIGHT: US petchem exports poised to hit record on capacity,
logistics and cost advantage
By Joseph Chang 25-Mar-23 03:33 NEW YORK (ICIS)–With the last wave of new
capacity additions and easing of logistics constraints, the US petrochemical
sector has a clear path to boosting exports to new records in 2023, heading into
this year’s International Petrochemical Conference (IPC).

Southeast Asia PP market braces for a tough Q2
By Jackie Wong 18-Mar-23 00:35 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–With demand on a considerable
slowdown since the end of the Lunar New Year holiday in early February, the
polypropylene (PP) market in southeast Asia is now bracing itself for an even
tougher Q2 as different elements come together, threatening to create a perfect
storm.

Intra-Asia chemical tanker demand hampered by aromatics plant turnarounds
By Hwee Hwee Tan 21-Mar-23 17:16 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Aromatics plant turnarounds in
Asia and cargo diversions to the US gasoline blending sector are expected to
continue to curtail intra-regional shipping demand into the second quarter.

China PP prices fall to nearly three-year low amid increasing supply,
lower-than-expected demand
By Lucy Shuai 22-Mar-23 12:44 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China polypropylene (PP) prices
fell to a nearly three-year-low amid increasing supply and lower-than-expected
demand, and the market may remain under pressure in Q2.

Asia petrochemicals demand tepid on macroeconomy, oversupply concerns
By Nurluqman Suratman 24-Mar-23 14:16 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s petrochemical
markets continue to face tepid demand as economic recovery in regional
bellwether China remains slower than initially expected, with new production
capacities adding to oversupply concerns.

Recessionary conditions to define H1, Q1 destocking still ‘palpable’ – LANXESS
CEO
By Tom Brown 15-Mar-23 21:15 COLOGNE (ICIS)–2023 will be a difficult for the
chemicals sector, with market conditions likely to remain bleak through the end
of the second quarter, the CEO of LANXESS Matthias Zachert said on Wednesday.
Zachert also said the destocking trend that emerged in the closing months of
2022 continues to be felt. The impact of weaker demand in a high-cost,
low-growth environment is likely to weigh on chemicals players globally through
the first six months of 2023, with destocking continuing and customers hesitant
about making substantial new commitments, according to Zachert.

INSIGHT: China growth ambitions deliver a reality check while financial risk
multiplies
By Nigel Davis 14-Mar-23 23:33 LONDON (ICIS)–Petrochemicals production turned up
in January following months of decline, as demand started to improve and
prospects for growth brightened. But the take-off, from a miserable few months
at the end of 2022, was slower than some hoped for – as evidenced by capacity
utilisation. Subsequently, the brightness seen by some around the Lunar New Year
holiday in China in February has dimmed and China’s government has delivered a
dose of reality. ICIS data focus on basic chemicals and synthetic materials
(that is, resins, elastomers and fibres), so the core petrochemical industry
building blocks and the major polymers. In January, production of those
materials rose 0.9% globally, to 280.9m tonnes. As ICIS chief economist, Kevin
Swift, notes, this follows a 0.1% decline in December, a 1.9% decline in
November “and generally declining activity since March”. The sector is by no
means in a good place. Overall, production volumes were down 5.2% year on year
in January with gains largely centred on North America, Central & South America,
Europe and the Middle East. Production in northeast Asia was weak. Capacity
utilisation improved in January by 0.4 percentage points to 66.2% which was
encouraging but this rate compared with a much more robust 71.7% in January
2022.

INSIGHT: US petchem exports to hit record on capacity surge, easing of logistics
constraints
By Joseph Chang 14-Mar-23 01:00 NEW YORK (ICIS)–With the last wave of new
capacity additions and easing of logistics constraints, the US petrochemical
sector has a clear path to boosting exports to new records in 2023. Even with a
recessionary global economic outlook dampening demand overseas and capacity
surging in China, the US cost advantage is simply too great to hold back the
floodgates. US petrochemical exports will run into a big headwind from a surge
of new projects starting up in China. China will be adding record-breaking
chemical and fertilizer capacity in 2023 of 137m tonnes/year, dwarfing the
previous record of around 93m tonnes/year in 2014 and driving global oversupply,
according to an ICIS analysis.

S Korea Q4 ’22 GDP contracts on quarter; full-year ’23 growth to slow on weak
exports
By Pearl Bantillo 07-Mar-23 13:50 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–South Korea’s economic output
shrank by 0.4% in the October-December 2022 from the previous quarter, unchanged
from advance estimates, as manufacturing and exports contracted amid a global
economic slowdown. For the whole of 2022, manufacturing growth decelerated to
1.4% from 6.9% in the previous year, while export of goods posted a much slower
growth of 3.4% from 10.5% in 2021. For 2023, full-year growth is projected to
slow down to 1.6% amid high inflation and interest rates. “Growth will fall even
further below its pre-pandemic average this year on a tougher base effect, high
energy prices and higher interest rates. However, eased Covid-19 restrictions
will provide some support,” said Matthew Cunningham, economist at Spain-based
FocusEconomics had stated in a recent note.

China sets conservative 5.0% GDP growth target; petrochemical markets cautious
By Fanny Zhang 06-Mar-23 14:33 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China has set its 2023 economic
growth goal at around 5%, a conservative number underscoring an overall cautious
outlook that sent crude prices falling on Monday after recent strong gains,
while Chinese petrochemical futures markets largely mixed. At the start of
China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) in Beijing on 5 March, Chinese Premiere
Li Keqiang announced the GDP growth target, lower than the previous year’s
target of around 5.5% although the figure represents an acceleration from the
actual 3.0% growth recorded in 2022. China’s parliament will be in session for
10 days to outline the country’s broad goals and plans for 2023. Economists
deemed the GDP target realistic as the economy recovers from severe COVID-19
impact over the past three years.

INSIGHT: LatAm petchems at mercy of global markets as China’s reopening key for
prices
By Jonathan Lopez 04-Mar-23 00:26 SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Latin American petrochemicals
companies are dependent on a recovery in global prices to post healthier spreads
in 2023 as all eyes are now on China’s economy reopening. Although Latin
American petrochemicals producers and distributors concentrate on domestic
consumers, China and other foreign markets are important for the region because
they influence margins and stimulate demand for commodity exports.

INSIGHT: Optimism on China recovery as manufacturing PMI leaps into expansion
By Joseph Chang 02-Mar-23 07:00 NEW YORK (ICIS)–The long-awaited China recovery
may finally be at hand, as a key leading indicator of manufacturing activity
surged higher.

Asia fatty alcohols to see improved sentiment following China Feb PMI data
By Helen Yan 02-Mar-23 14:13 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s fatty alcohols and other
oleochemical markets are likely to see an improvement in sentiment and demand,
following the latest February data showing factory activity rising significantly
in China.

INSIGHT: European chemical producers see demand weakness persist but look to H2
2023
By Nigel Davis 28-Feb-23 23:51 LONDON (ICIS)–A slower than hoped for re-start in
China but a turn up in key indicators in the US colour the macroeconomic outlook
and the driving forces behind industrial production demand for chemicals.

INSIGHT: East China toluene xylene price gap fluctuates amid shifting market
dynamics
By Veronica Zhang 28-Feb-23 19:39 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The East China toluene-xylene
price gap has fluctuated widely in 2022 and early 2023 amid a shift in
supply-demand fundamentals as export demand grew and domestic consumption
remained more subdued.

China phenol, acetone industry out of the red; uncertainties loom in March
By Yoyo Liu 27-Feb-23 15:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s phenol and acetone industry
has emerged from the red on increased prices after the Lunar New Year holiday on
21-27 January.

INSIGHT: China imports of Russia oil to rise further in 2023 on cheap prices
By Fanny Zhang 27-Feb-23 21:59 SINGPORE (ICIS)–China is expected to boost
imports of Russia oil further in 2023 to take advantage of price discounts, with
a significant increase likely in volumes flowing to independent refineries in
Shandong.

INSIGHT: Northeast Asia plasticizers exports to drive intense competition
globally
By Nicole Simpson 27-Feb-23 21:40 LONDON (ICIS)–Northeast Asian plasticizers
exports are expected to continue to drive strong competition between sellers
globally as China import interest remains low.

INSIGHT: Weak consumer confidence weighs on China recovery post-reopening
By Pearl Bantillo 22-Feb-23 23:54 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s prospects turned
brighter after it abandoned its zero-COVID policy, but two of its major growth
engines – exports and the property sector – may struggle to perform amid a
general weakness in consumer confidence. The possibility of the world plunging
into recession still cannot be ruled out.

Bank of Korea pauses interest rate hikes, lowers economic growth forecast
By Nurluqman Suratman 23-Feb-23 10:53 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–South Korea’s central
bank on Thursday kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50% and lowered its economic
growth forecast for 2023 amid slowing domestic consumption and exports.

Asia Group II base oils supply to dip slightly on China demand pick-up
By Matthew Chong 23-Feb-23 12:31 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s Group II base oils spot
supply is expected to be slightly reduced in the coming months, after being in
relative abundance since late 2022.

INSIGHT: China bounce a bust
By Joseph Chang 17-Feb-23 04:09 NEW YORK (ICIS)–Hopes for a quick rebound in
China’s economy and demand for chemicals and plastics after the Lunar New Year
and zero-COVID in the rearview mirror have been dashed thus far. While it is
still early days and there are some signs of recovery, disappointment reigns for
now.

INSIGHT: China’s reopening having a gradual, positive impact on PE demand
By Amy Yu 17-Feb-23 00:44 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Polyethylene (PE) markets in Asia are
expected to recover more strongly in 2023 but the magnitude of growth may depend
on the speed of demand recovery in China. Currently, demand in February is not
stronger than expected.

INSIGHT: Asia petrochemical prices to rise but margins under pressure in
February – ICIS analysts
By Ann Sun 15-Feb-23 20:49 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Higher prices in most value chains
are expected in the Asia petrochemical market in February in view of
balanced-to-tight fundamentals driven by subdued supply and restocking
activities. However, companies are still struggling with negative margins.

Global oil supply to exceed demand in H1 2023 – IEA
By Tom Brown 15-Feb-23 19:54 LONDON (ICIS)–Global oil supply is expected to
exceed demand for the first half of 2023, but the balance could quickly snap the
other way later in the year as demand recovers and some Russian output and is
shut out of parts of the world, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said.

Thai domestic PET average prices rise on increased buying pressure
By Zachary Tia 14-Feb-23 22:16 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The average price for Thailand
domestic spot bottle-grade polyethylene terephthalate (PET) cargoes firmed on
the back of higher buying pressure in the week ended 10 February.

China disappoints hopes of swift PP demand lift, global markets eye exports
closely
By Vicky Ellis 14-Feb-23 20:47 LONDON (ICIS)–A raft of offers of Chinese
polypropylene (PP) into other regions, and signs that demand is not pinging back
quickly, are denting hopes that a fast Chinese recovery will pull up global
markets.

Thai PTTGC expects demand recovery in 2023 on China reopening
By Nurluqman Suratman 14-Feb-23 14:39 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Thai petrochemical major
PTT Global Chemicals expects demand for its aromatics and polymers products to
improve this year following China’s reopening.

Singapore Q4 economy expands by 2.1%, full-year 2022 GDP growth at 3.6%
By Nurluqman Suratman 13-Feb-23 11:22 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Singapore’s economy grew
by 2.1% year on year in the fourth quarter, moderating from the 4.0% expansion
in the previous quarter, amid a slowdown in the manufacturing sector, official
data showed on Monday.

INSIGHT: Petrochemicals beginning to expand again but margins challenged
By Nigel Davis 07-Feb-23 00:25 LONDON (ICIS)–Signs of a tentative upturn for the
major petrochemicals and polymers are welcome although it is clear that
profitability is likely to remain under pressure in the first half. For the big
polyolefins, polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), additional supply creates
a headache that will persist for some time.

Thailand R-PET feedstock supply rises on recovering tourism
By Arianne Perez 07-Feb-23 12:46 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Spot availability of
post-consumer bale feedstock in Thailand has been increasing for weeks now due
to more tourists coming back to the country.

China January petrochemical markets rebound; near-term outlook mixed
By Yvonne Shi 08-Feb-23 13:54 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s petrochemical markets
posted strong gains in holiday-shortened January, largely in anticipation of
strong demand post Lunar New Year as both production and consumption picked up
after the country abandoned its zero-COVID policy.

NE Asia C2 up in supply-led recovery; China downstream demand still slow
By Yeow Pei Lin 10-Feb-23 11:43 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Northeast Asia’s spot ethylene
(C2) prices advanced as supply decreased on cracker turnarounds and reduced
inflows from other regions.

Asian EPDM stays soft, eyes on Q2 China recovery
By Ai Teng Lim 08-Feb-23 11:51 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Discussions are limited this
week in Asia’s spot market for ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM) imports,
as sluggish buying persisted.

Lower demand drives down slack wax prices in the US
By Daniel Lopes 09-Feb-23 07:00 HOUSTON (ICIS)–US slack wax prices are falling
based on lacklustre demand and ample supply in Q1. A market participant said
sales in January were particularly low when compared to the same period last
year, and this is due to continued high inflation and economic uncertainties,
which have changed consumption habits.

Asia naphtha buoyed by crude oil; thin demand limits gains
By Melanie Wee 08-Feb-23 17:03 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia naphtha markets are being
propped up by gains in global crude oil futures although a lack of robust demand
is keeping a lid on the upward pressure.

Asia BDO extends post-Lunar New Year gains amid snug availability
By Clive Ong 03-Feb-23 11:38 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s butanediol (BDO) market
extended gains after the Lunar New Year holidays, while snug availability and
renewed demand in the region fuelled talk of further potential strength in the
market.

Asia soda ash market firms on limited supply, robust China demand
By Helen Lee 02-Feb-23 15:52 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s soda ash market has firmed
on the back of limited export volumes from China, where domestic demand
strengthened after the Lunar New Year holidays.

China post-holiday demand key indicator for oleochemical trade flows
By Lucas Hall 02-Feb-23 02:48 ORLANDO (ICIS)–Chinese demand following the end of
Lunar New Year will be the key indicator in determining oleochemical trade flows
in 1H 2023, according to sources on the sidelines of the American Cleaning
Institute (ACI) annual meeting and industry convention.

US styrene market stabilises after plants return to production
By John Donnelly 31-Jan-23 22:55 HOUSTON (ICIS)–After several plant outages that
boosted spot prices, the US styrene market has stabilised with units back in
operation although running at reduced rates. Soft demand and rising feedstock
costs promise to pressure margins through Q1.

China official Jan manufacturing PMI swings to expansion mode at 50.1
By Nurluqman Suratman 31-Jan-23 12:33 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s official
manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) crossed to expansionary territory
in January at 50.1, from a 34-month low of 47.0 in the previous month as the
country relaxed its zero-COVID policy, official data showed on Tuesday.

China 2023 GDP growth forecast revised up to 5.2% as activity recovers – IMF
By Nurluqman Suratman 31-Jan-23 11:58 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s GDP growth is
projected to rebound to 5.2% in 2023 from 3.0% last year as a sudden lifting of
most its pandemic-related restrictions paved the way for a rapid rebound in
economic activity, according to the World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update of the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) released on Tuesday.

Developing Asia economic growth forecast raised to 5.3% – IMF
By Nurluqman Suratman 31-Jan-23 11:48 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Economic growth in
emerging and developing Asian economies is expected to rise in 2023 and 2024 to
5.3% and 5.2%, respectively, after the deeper-than-expected slowdown in 2022,
the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday.

Dow expects Chinese stimulus, reopening to boost demand
By Al Greenwood 27-Jan-23 03:37 HOUSTON (ICIS)–Dow is seeing signs that China’s
reopening from COVID-19 lockdowns is progressing, and that should increase
demand for its products, along with government stimulus, the CEO said on
Thursday. “We’re seeing China opening up. We’re not seeing issues with people
coming to work,” said Jim Fitterling, CEO. He made his comments during an
earnings conference call. Other CEOs have also remarked that employees are
returning to work, according to Fitterling. Right now, Dow is not seeing any
COVID-19 outbreaks that China cannot manage, he said.

Asia naphtha market sentiment mixed; eyes on China’s recovery
By Melanie Wee 26-Jan-23 12:18 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia naphtha markets are being
kept afloat by hopes of recovering China petrochemical demand, although
diminishing downstream margins are keeping demand cautious. Spot naphtha CFR
(cost and freight) Japan indicative prices averaged at $715.50/tonne for
first-half March delivery at midday session on Thursday, holding on to the
previous day’s Asia close. Prices have climbed by some 10% compared with
month-earlier levels, fluctuating with volatile crude oil futures, ICIS data
shows.

CRUDE SUMMARY: Oil prices steady as market awaits OPEC+ panel meeting
By Eloise Radley 26-Jan-23 04:27 LONDON (ICIS) – Crude prices remained
relatively steady on Wednesday, staying within $1/bbl of Tuesday’s settlement
price. Hopes of increased demand in China balanced builds in US crude and
gasoline stocks.Weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)
showed that US crude stocks saw a marginal build of 0.53m bbl last week. Despite
this build, the rise was over six times smaller than the anticipated 3.4m bbl.
This applied slight upwards pressure to prices in afternoon trading. However,
gasoline stock increased by 1.76m bbl, over double the expected 0.62m bbl. US
distillate stocks fell by 0.51m bbl, less than the predicted 1.90m bbl drop.

Asia petrochemicals pin hopes on China’s post-holiday demand
By Pearl Bantillo 25-Jan-23 14:38 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s petrochemical players
are largely betting on strong revival of China’s demand following lifting of
most COVID-19 curbs, having built up stocks in the weeks leading to the Lunar
New Year holiday. At midday, naphtha, as well as aromatics products benzene and
toluene, were trading higher on the back of crude gains, which were being driven
up by optimism over China’s economic prospects after the world’s second-biggest
economy abandoned its zero-COVID policy. China is on holiday the whole week for
the Lunar New Year festivities. Most other countries in northeast Asia and
southeast Asia also observed the holiday at the start of the week.

VIDEO: China chemicals market review and outlook
By Chris Qi 20-Jan-23 11:26 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Watch ICIS China information
director Chris Qi review China chemical industry in 2022 and an outlook for the
industry in 2023.

China ethylene buyers’ price ideas edge up ahead of holiday
By Yeow Pei Lin 20-Jan-23 11:14 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Northeast Asia’s spot ethylene
prices rebounded slightly in recent days, aided by limited offers, improving
prices for certain derivatives in China and strong feedstock naphtha costs.

European engineering plastics demand stays sluggish in light of persistent
economic uncertainty
By Yashas Mudumbai 20-Jan-23 00:34 LONDON (ICIS)–The engineering plastics
markets for polyacetal (POM) and polybutylene terephthalate (PBT) in Europe are
continuing to see lower than usual demand, as macroeconomic challenges cause
market players to be circumspect.

INSIGHT: Chems face rough earnings season amid warnings, lower margins
By Al Greenwood 20-Jan-23 00:04 HOUSTON (ICIS)–Chemical companies have kicked
off the earnings season by waring that they could miss analysts’ estimates and
struggle to keep up with rising costs.

Malaysia central bank maintains 2.75% key interest rate amid economic headwinds
By Nurluqman Suratman 19-Jan-23 18:49 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Malaysia’s central bank
on Thursday unexpectedly kept its key benchmark interest rate unchanged amid
expectations that the country’s 2023 economic growth will moderate this year
amid a global slowdown.

Pakistani buyers struggle to pay Asian R-PET, R-PE cargoes
By Arianne Perez 19-Jan-23 18:10 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–As Pakistan struggles with a
financial crisis, importers of recycled polyethylene terephthalate (R-PET) and
recycled polyethylene (R-PE) have struggled to settle payments with suppliers.

China MDI markets see active restocking spurred on by planned turnarounds
By Shannen Ng 19-Jan-23 12:37 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–News of two major methylene
diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI) producers in China planning turnarounds for February
spurred restocking activity in the week ending 18 January, ahead of the Lunar
New Year holiday.

Oil falls by more than $1/bbl on surprise build in US crude inventories
By Nurluqman Suratman 19-Jan-23 12:16 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Oil prices fell by more
than $1/bbl on Thursday after industry data showed a surprise build in US crude
inventories for the second straight week, raising concerns of faltering fuel
demand.

Asia BDO rebounds as buyers pin hopes on renewed post-holiday demand
By Clive Ong 19-Jan-23 11:38 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s 1,4-butanediol (BDO) market
surged this week as buying momentum for February cargoes picked up on
expectations of firmer demand post-Lunar New Year.

US economy poised to enter mild recession as inflation has peaked – ICIS
economist
By Joseph Chang 19-Jan-23 05:30 NEW YORK (ICIS)–The US economy is likely to
enter a relatively mild recession in 2023, the ICIS chief economist said on
Wednesday.

INSIGHT: Poor demand, high costs stifle Europe industry despite falling gas
prices
By Aura Sabadus 18-Jan-23 22:56 LONDON (ICIS)–Falling gas prices could reignite
some interest in European industrial output but a combination of high operating
costs and sluggish demand, reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis, is likely
to slow recovery this year, according to ICIS research.

European phenol struggles with costs while acetone tightens, but demand remains
slow
By Jane Gibson 18-Jan-23 22:07 LONDON (ICIS)–The recent fall in gas prices is
good news for the phenol and acetone chain. But this alone is unlikely to prompt
producers to increase operating rates quite yet.

Japan’s Toyota targets record ’23 car output of 10.6m units, with caveat
By Pearl Bantillo 18-Jan-23 13:21 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Global automotive giant
Toyota is targeting to produce 10.6m units in 2023, subject to a possible
downward adjustment of 10% if problems with supply of semiconductors persist.

Bank of Japan maintains low interest rates despite rising inflation
By Nurluqman Suratman 18-Jan-23 12:49 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The Bank of Japan (BOJ)
on Wednesday maintained its ultra-low interest rate policy despite rising
inflation levels and warned that risks to the country’s economic outlook remain
extremely high.

Asia MEC underpinned by hopes of post-Lunar New Year recovery
By Keven Zhang 18-Jan-23 11:32 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia methylene chloride (MEC)
was buoyed by spot demand in the last week before the Lunar New Year.

Europe ECH demand muted in Q1, could improve in Q2
By Heidi Finch 18-Jan-23 00:21 LONDON (ICIS)–Europe epichlorohydrin (ECH) demand
is likely to face a tough first quarter, as macroeconomic headwinds and Asian
competition continue to weigh.

OUTLOOK ’23: Chemical M&A stymied by rates, uncertainty but may rebound in H2
By Joseph Chang 18-Jan-23 00:00 NEW YORK (ICIS)–High interest rates, lack of
available financing and economic and earnings uncertainty are holding back
chemical industry mergers and acquisitions (M&A). However, activity may be
poised to rebound in H2 2023 as the backlog of undone deals builds up, a clearer
earnings picture emerges and especially if the financing market improves.

INSIGHT: Asia petrochemicals to rebound in January amid demand recovery – ICIS
analysts
By Jenny Yi 17-Jan-23 21:45 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The Asia petrochemical market is
expected to rebound from January in view of demand recovery in the coming months
with China’s abandonment of its strict zero-COVID policy. The appreciation of
Asia currencies against the US dollar should also support the outlook.

PODCAST: Europe PE, PP analytical 2023 outlook
By Ben Lake 17-Jan-23 19:35 LONDON (ICIS)–European polymer editors Vicky Ellis
and Ben Lake are joined by analysts Emiliano Basualto and Lorenzo Meazza to
discuss the year ahead in what could be a transitional 12 months for the
polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) markets.

NE Asia polyester prices stable to firm; post-holiday outlook optimistic
By Judith Wang 17-Jan-23 16:30 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Spot polyester prices in
northeast Asia were stable to firm during the week, on the back of stronger
feedstock prices, while overall buying has slowed ahead of the Lunar New Year
holiday.

China 2022 GDP growth slows to 3%; re-opening to drive 2023 recovery
By Nurluqman Suratman 17-Jan-23 16:21 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s economy grew by
3% in 2022, marking its slowest pace of expansion in decades, highlighting the
impact of the country’s long-standing zero-COVID strategy.

India December exports fall 12.2% amid global economic slowdown
By Priya Jestin 17-Jan-23 14:21 MUMBAI (ICIS)–India’s merchandise exports in
December declined by 12.2% year on year to $34.5bn, with further weakness likely
in 2023 amid the global economic slowdown, with its major markets – the US and
Europe – possibly facing a recession.

BPA prices in China, India at more than two-year low; ample supply may linger
By Li Peng Seng 17-Jan-23 11:38 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Import prices of bisphenol A
(BPA) in China and India have slumped to their lowest levels in more than two
years, weighed down by ample supply.

INSIGHT: Weak, sometimes negative product margins challenged petchem players in
2022
By Nigel Davis 16-Jan-23 23:54 LONDON (ICIS)–As in the depths of the COVID-19
downturn, chemical producers, particularly those based largely in northwest
Europe, remain focused on cash.

Global weekly spot IPEX up on rising chemical prices across all regions
By Miguel Rodriguez Fernandez 16-Jan-23 18:57 LONDON (ICIS)–Spot chemical prices
were up 2.2% on the back of firmer values across all regions, according to
latest figures from the weekly ICIS Petrochemical Index (IPEX).

Qatar’s $6bn Ras Laffan project to boost Mideast PE exports, shift trade flows
By Nurluqman Suratman 16-Jan-23 13:49 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Qatar’s $6bn joint
venture Ras Laffan petrochemicals complex is expected to boost the Middle East’s
polyethylene (PE) exports and could result in a major shift to global trade
flows once it comes on stream, according to ICIS analysts.

China re-opening bodes well for SE Asia PE, but Lunar New Year slowdowns ahead
By Izham Ahmad 16-Jan-23 11:53 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s surprise announcement of
the re-opening of its borders and the easing of COVID-19 restrictions has
injected renewed vigour into the southeast Asian PE market, but the impact could
be short-lived as market activity slows down for the typical Lunar New Year
holiday lull.

INSIGHT: A turbulent 2020s requires near-term focus but clear, longer-term
strategies
By Nigel Davis 12-Jan-23 00:49 LONDON (ICIS)–The World Economic Forum (WEF)
talks of a global risks landscape this year that “feels both wholly new and
eerily familiar” in its Global Risks Report 2023.

INSIGHT: Downward pressure on petchem and plastics prices persists globally
By Nigel Davis 11-Jan-23 01:19 LONDON (ICIS)–Falling base chemical and polymer
prices globally reflect the weaker and uncertain demand environment while
shifted supply and demand balances have coloured spot activity at the end of
2022 and the start of 2023 for a handful of chemical commodities.

The ICIS Petrochemical Index tracked down further in December with the focus on
the US Gulf basket of prices: the 12 commodities and polymers collated for the
index.

China petrochemical players build stocks on hopes of strong post-holiday demand
By Fanny Zhang 12-Jan-23 11:20 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Players in China’s petrochemical
markets are actively building up stocks on expectation of a strong recovery in
post-Lunar New Year demand.

East Asia, Pacific 2023 growth seen at 4.3% on China rebound – World Bank
By Nurluqman Suratman 11-Jan-23 15:12 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Economies in the east
Asia and Pacific region in 2023 are expected to log an average growth of 4.3%,
accelerating from the estimated 3.2% pace in 2022 but lower than the previous
forecast of above 5% for the current year, the World Bank said.

NE Asia ethylene falls on weak China demand, ample supply
By Yeow Pei Lin 06-Jan-23 10:56 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Northeast Asia’s spot ethylene
market started 2023 on a soft note due to China’s raging COVID-19 outbreak,
which has exacerbated the seasonal downstream demand lull ahead of the Lunar New
Year holiday.

China Dec petrochemical markets weak; better post-Lunar New Year demand eyed
By Yvonne Shi 05-Jan-23 14:14 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s petrochemical markets
stayed depressed in December despite substantial relaxation of pandemic-related
lockdowns, as a consequent spike in COVID-19 infections continued to restrict
logistics operations.

Any recovery in demand is unlikely until after the week-long Lunar New Year
holiday on 21-27 January.

OUTLOOK ’23: US PVC and vinyls chain face new year of weakened demand
By Bill Bowen 05-Jan-23 04:00 HOUSTON (ICIS)–US polyvinyl chloride (PVC) enters
2023 with mixed outlook: nominations for price increases for January and an
economic outlook that runs counter to those separately proposed increases.

OUTLOOK ’23: China ACN, downstream capacities to expand; oversupply challenges
prevail
By Candy Nie 06-Jan-23 12:12 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s acrylonitrile (ACN) market
will continue to see a slew of capacity expansions, particularly in the first
half of 2023. Downstream demand is also expected to rise with new downstream
units coming online and some COVID-19 restrictions gradually easing since
end-2022.

OUTLOOK ’23: Plant activity will tighten US propylene balance even as economy
undermines demand
By John Donnelly 05-Jan-23 03:00 HOUSTON (ICIS)–Derivative demand for US
propylene will remain weak until at least Q3, but plant maintenance and a new
propylene oxide/tertiary butyl alcohol (POTBA) plant will help support the
market in the first half of the year.

OUTLOOK ’23: Weak demand, import pressure to persist in Europe MPG market
By Nicole Simpson 05-Jan-23 18:30 LONDON (ICIS)–Demand in the European mono
propylene glycol (MPG) market is expected to remain lacklustre, especially in
Q1, as macroeconomic headwinds and pressure from Asian imports persist.

OUTLOOK ’23: Jet kerosene demand to increase on relaxed COVID-19 restrictions
By Cassandra Abolaji 04-Jan-23 20:00 LONDON (ICIS)–The outlook for the European
jet kerosene market is optimistic for 2023, as the world reaches almost full
recovery from COVID-19 travel restrictions.

OUTLOOK ‘23: New capacity, China’s COVID-19 surge weigh on Asia EVA market
By Helen Lee 04-Jan-23 15:13 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s supply of ethylene vinyl
acetate (EVA) is expected to lengthen as new capacities start-up, while surging
COVID-19 cases in China following easing of pandemic-related restrictions could
cap demand recovery in the first quarter of 2023.

China Dec PMI at 34-month low; recovery expected to come in Feb
By Fanny Zhang 03-Jan-23 15:44 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s official manufacturing
purchasing managers index (PMI) slumped to a 34-month low of 47.0 in December
amid fast-spreading COVID-19 outbreaks.

Recovery is expected to happen in February when factories come back on stream
from the Lunar New Year holiday break.

OUTLOOK ’23: Mid East, South Asia PS markets to hinge on SM trend, China’s
recovery
By Damini Dabholkar 29-Dec-22 10:38 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The Q1 2023 outlook for
polystyrene (PS) markets in the Middle East and South Asia remains uncertain and
will largely be dependent on the availability and prices of upstream
commodities. The market is not expected show any strong signs of recovery,
however, at least until end January, which is when many countries in Asia
celebrate the Lunar New Year. Post Lunar New Year, demand is likely to see an
uptick, as has been observed historically.

OUTLOOK ’23: Automotive sector hits the brakes for growth prospects
By Morgan Condon 28-Dec-22 22:30 LONDON (ICIS)–Conditions have been challenging
for the automotive industry in recent years, and no immediate reprieve is
expected in the near term against a backdrop of geopolitical volatility. Growth
expectations for 2022 were not fulfilled and the Russian invasion of Ukraine at
the end of February stifled any post-pandemic macroeconomic recovery. This trend
looks set to continue in the industry in 2023.

China downgrades COVID, stops quarantine for inbound travellers
By Fanny Zhang 27-Dec-22 11:29 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China will downgrade COVID-19 to
a more common infectious disease, manage it at Category B instead of the
top-level Category A and scrap quarantine for inbound travellers from 8 January,
the National Health Commission (NHC) announced late on Monday. Currently,
COVID-19 is classified as Category B but managed as Category A that applies to
diseases like plague and cholera in China.

OUTLOOK ’23: Europe naphtha demand to improve, Russian sanctions to tighten
supply
By Cassandra Abolaji 23-Dec-22 00:30 LONDON (ICIS)–The Europe naphtha market
ended 2022 on a volatile note and will remain volatile at the start of 2023.
This after months of weakening feedstock demand partially caused by China’s
absence from the market due to lingering COVID-19 restrictions and high oil
prices.

OUTLOOK ’23: Europe MX to lag behind pre-COVID-19 levels despite improved
consumption
By Zubair Adam 23-Dec-22 00:30 LONDON (ICIS)–2022 has been a rough year for
mixed xylenes (MX) in Europe mainly due to issues with gasoline and global
events impacting chemical demand with no significant recovery prior to
pre-pandemic levels.

OUTLOOK 23’: China toluene market may face oversupply and trade flow change
China toluene market pivoted from net import to net export in 2022 amid
Russia-Ukraine war, but in 2023 the domestic market might face increased supply
whereas demand weakness may persist putting pressure on the export market.

OUTLOOK ’23: Asia PP’s potential oversupply may outweigh China’s demand recovery
Possible oversupply in Asia’s polypropylene (PP) market may outweigh the impact
of demand recovery in China in 2023.

OUTLOOK ’23: Asia BDO to struggle with long supply while awaiting demand rebound
The Asian 1,4-butanediol (BDO) market continues to be mired in weakness, while
the malaise could extend into the new year given the slow market conditions amid
the yearend lull and the upcoming Lunar New Year holidays in the second half of
January.

OUTLOOK ’23: Asia IPA to see poor demand, ample supply in H1 2023
Asian isopropanol (IPA) spot markets will likely face headwinds in the first
half of 2023 on poor demand and ample supply.

OUTLOOK ’23: Asian PET to face headwinds as supply likely to outstrip demand
Asia’s polyethylene terephthalate (PET) supply will likely outstrip demand in
2023 on the back of new capacities scheduled to come online in the upcoming
year.

OUTLOOK ’23: Asia adipic acid supply to increase amid demand concerns
Asia’s adipic acid market will see an increase in overall production capacity in
2023, however, the bigger question for the industry is whether its downstream
derivatives are growing at a pace quick enough to support it.

OUTLOOK ‘23: China’s MX to face further uncertainty from downstream PX
China’s mixed xylene (MX) prices surged to a decade-high level on soaring crude
oil prices in the first half of 2022, before fluctuating downwards in the second
half of 2022. In 2023, the market may see support from the launch of some
downstream paraxylene (PX) units, but this could depend on the profitability of
the PX industry.

OUTLOOK ’23: East, south Asia ethanolamines to face supply headwind
The ethanolamines market in east and south Asia remains under downward pressure
towards the end of the year. Tepid demand appears entrenched with limited signs
of any significant rebound in the near term.

OUTLOOK ’23: East and South Asia LAB mired in weakness although optimism remains
The linear alkylbenzene (LAB) markets in east and south Asia continue to be
mired in weakness with demand in a low ebb. Buyers remain mostly unhurried with
supply ample in most regions.

Asia petrochemicals sector to bottom out in December
By Jimmy Zhang 16-Dec-22 12:15 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Although bullish sentiment has
started to develop in Asian petrochemical markets from early December amid
China’s easing of pandemic curbs, concerns are still in place amid the global
economic headwinds and slowing of trading activity ahead of year-end holidays.

China petchems demand recovery unlikely before Q2 2023 despite easing COVID
restrictions
By Jenny Yi 14-Dec-22 23:34 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s zero-COVID strategy has
been eased since early December. ICIS analysts expect, however, that demand for
most commodity petrochemicals will not improve significantly in the short term,
and that large-scale recovery may only begin in the second quarter of 2023.

Asia fatty acids near-term demand tepid; may pick up after Lunar New Year
By Helen Yan 14-Dec-22 12:13 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s fatty acids demand will
remain tepid in the near term amid the year-end holiday lull but will likely
pick up after the Lunar New Year holidays next year.

INSIGHT: Chemicals output falls as industrial activity contracts globally, 2023
expected weak
By Nigel Davis 14-Dec-22 00:23 LONDON (ICIS)–It is not so much a question of how
low will it go but how slow will it be – and for how long? Capacity utilisation
data show that the chemicals sector globally has geared down in the face of
current headwinds. And there are many of those.

China petrochemical futures mixed; near-term demand recovery in doubt
By Fanny Zhang 08-Dec-22 13:03 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s petrochemical futures
markets were mixed on Thursday morning as demand may remain soft despite a
further relaxation in the country’s COVID-19 curbs. “We don’t see any strong
demand recovery for commodities in the short term,” said Zhang Junfeng, an
analyst at brokerage China Merchant Securities. “Consumer confidence still needs
time to rebuild,” Zhang said. Late on 7 December, the Chinese government
announced 10 measures to optimise its COVID-19 policy, including allowing people
with mild or no symptoms to quarantine at home, and cancelling of testing
requirements for domestic travelers.

GPCA ’22: Supply chain localisation could help reduce logistics pressure – Saudi
society
By Tom Brown 07-Dec-22 23:15 RIYADH (ICIS)–Supply chain operators should shift
further towards localised operations and away from globalisation to build
resilience and adapt to the volatility that has strained logistics for several
years, the chairman of the board for the Saudi Supply Chain and Procurement
Society said. The current state of extreme stress on global trade links that has
been seen since the COVID-19 pandemic decoupled movement along traditional
supply routes is unlikely to be a temporary phase, and further localisation of
supply chains could be a solution, according to Supply and Procurement
Association board chair Saleh Ibrahim Al-Shabnan.

INSIGHT: Easing in supply chains could signal further problems for Europe’s
chems sector ahead
By Morgan Condon 02-Dec-22 20:46 LONDON (ICIS)–Easing supply chain disruption
has given petrochemical producers in Europe some respite in the wake of recent
crashing demand. But the smoother flow of product could lead to further
destabilising of market fundamentals, rather than providing balance to the
market. As new orders in Europe have subsided, this has given room for producers
to catch up with backlogs, smoothing out extended lead times, and allowing
congested bottlenecks to dissipate. While this has been some help in the
short-term, the likelihood is that diminished appetite for materials could
eventually disrupt logistics, as deliveries slow down to match need.

US manufacturing contracts for first time in 30 months
By Stefan Baumgarten 02-Dec-22 01:04 HOUSTON (ICIS)–The US manufacturing
purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell by 1.2 points from 50.2 in October to 49.0
in November – pushing the index into contraction territory, last seen in May
2020 during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, ICIS senior economist Kevin
Swift said. He was commenting on the November PMI report by Institute for Supply
Management (ISM), released earlier on Thursday, which showed the first
contraction in manufacturing after 29 consecutive expansions.

Caixin’s Nov China manufacturing PMI rises to 49.4
By Nurluqman Suratman 01-Dec-22 10:33 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Caixin’s China
manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 49.4 in November from
49.2 in October but remained in contractionary territory as ongoing COVID-19
containment measures continued to weigh on the sector, the Chinese media firm
said on Thursday. A PMI reading above 50 indicates  expansion in the
manufacturing economy, while a lower number denotes contraction. Manufacturers
in China registered a further fall in output, with the rate of contraction
picking up slightly from October, amid a sustained reduction in sales, Caixin
said in a statement. Companies frequently linked the decline to the impact of
COVID-19 restrictions on operations and customer demand,” Caixin said.

UK manufacturing woes continue as output, new orders and employment fall
By Jonathan Lopez 01-Dec-22 20:45 MADRID (ICIS)–The UK’s manufacturing sectors
remained in contraction territory in November because of lower output, shrinking
orders, and reduced employment levels, analysts at S&P Global said on Thursday.
The UK’s PMI index came in at 46.5 points in November, a slight improvement from
October’s 46.2 points, but any reading below the 50.0 points mark shows
contraction. “The intermediate goods sector fared especially poorly, while
downturns also continued at consumer and investment goods producers,” said the
analysts.

INSIGHT: Preparing for a difficult winter in Europe and a tougher 2023/24
By Nigel Davis 26-Nov-22 00:56 LONDON (ICIS)–A mild autumn has alleviated some
of the tension in Europe’s energy markets and the pressure on natural gas
availability. But colder weather beckons and gas usage will rise putting, as it
does in normal years, upward pressure on gas prices. The filling of storage
tanks across the continent has provided a buffer against the worst damage that
the Russia-Ukraine war can do to Europe’s energy supply, while reduced demand by
industry has made a significant contribution. What is not clear is how energy
availability to industry, and the costs of that gas and power, change moving
into 2023.

NE Asia ethylene output to remain weak up to at least H1 2023
By Yeow Pei Lin 25-Nov-22 11:53 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Northeast Asia’s ethylene
production is expected to be constricted by heavy cracker turnarounds, poor
margins and weak downstream demand up to at least the first half of 2023.

China’s weak phenol imports to prompt deeper output cuts in Asia
By Helen Lee 25-Nov-22 16:06 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s phenol imports are being
weighed down by a combination of ample domestic supply, rising COVID-19
caseloads, easing upstream markets, and the absence of restocking ahead of the
Lunar New Year holidays in late January.

SE Asia PE market dazed by China stop-start demand
By Izham Ahmad 24-Nov-22 16:36 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Initial spot import offers for
December shipments of polyethylene (PE) in southeast Asia were announced in the
same range as the previous week’s assessment or softer this week, with market
players baffled by the stop-start nature of China’s demand for PE.

German manufacturers increase warehouse capacity post-pandemic
By Morgan Condon 23-Nov-22 20:40 LONDON (ICIS)–German industrial players have
expanded warehouse capacity and focus more on supply chains in the wake of the
pandemic, according to the latest data released by the Ifo Institute on
Wednesday. Results of the study from the economic research group found that 68%
of companies surveyed increased warehouse sizing, with 65% seeking additional
suppliers since 2020, and 54% of firms now monitor their supply chains more
closely. The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 initially caused a slowdown in
manufacturing, as regions applied lockdowns, and implemented restrictions at
ports and borders to contain the spread of the virus.

IMF urges China to further recalibrate COVID-19 strategy
By Nurluqman Suratman 23-Nov-22 18:22 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The International
Monetary Fund (IMF) has urged China to further recalibrate its COVID-19 strategy
and provide additional support to its beleaguered property sector to mitigate
risks from a global economic slowdown. Following the recovery from the initial
impact of the pandemic, the world’s second-biggest economy remains under
pressure, with growth projected to slow to 3.2% in 2022, from an 8.1% pace last
year, before improving to 4.4% in 2023 and 2024, the IMF stated on 22 November
following a review of China’s economic conditions.

PODCAST: Sustainable development may create new growth space for petrochemical
industry
By Yvonne Shi 18-Nov-22 11:29 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–ICIS analysts Jady Ma and Yvonne
Shi discuss how sustainable development is working on the petrochemical industry
and subsequent reactions.

PODCAST: Macroeconomics prove challenging for global chems in 2023, although
some bright spots remain
By Morgan Condon 16-Nov-22 22:50 LONDON (ICIS)–After several challenging years
in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, volatile geopolitical conditions and a
tough macroeconomic backdrop mean that things are unlikely to turn a corner for
global chemicals producers heading into the new year. Senior economist for
global chemicals Kevin Swift talks to senior reporter for Europe Morgan Condon
about the outlook for the coming year, and the key features for the market in
2023.

INSIGHT: Lacklustre demand from various outlets impacting polyols, TDI and
toluene
By Zubair Adam 17-Nov-22 21:03 LONDON (ICIS)–Weaker activity from the automotive
and flexible foam industries is impacting the consumption of polyols and toluene
diisocyanate (TDI), with some additional impacts from the latter on feedstock
toluene due to lower production. No short term demand recovery is envisaged for
the whole value chain.

INSIGHT: China’s property rescue plan to boost some petrochemicals
By Fanny Zhang 16-Nov-22 20:57 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s latest measures to
rescue the stressed property sector are expected to lift some petrochemicals,
although they are unlikely to reverse bearish sentiment on the sluggish property
market, according to economists and analysts.

China outlook dims further on fresh COVID-19 surge, real estate slump
By Nurluqman Suratman 16-Nov-22 13:17 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s economic outlook
just turned dimmer amid downbeat October data, with surging domestic COVID-19
infections and slumping real estate market threatening to aggravate weak
petrochemical demand.

Asia soap noodles to remain sluggish in near term on year-end holiday lull
By Helen Yan 16-Nov-22 10:52 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s soap noodles market is
likely to remain sluggish in the near term as buyers remain cautious and are
reluctant to lock in large forward spot volumes ahead of the year-end holiday
lull. China’s zero COVID-19 policy has had an impact on regional trade.

Weak demand outweighs refined COVID-19 policy, capping China PP price rise
By Zhibo Xiao 15-Nov-22 16:02 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s polypropylene (PP)
futures surged following the release of the refined COVID-19 policy on 11
November, but the market may still face pressure toward the year-end amid tepid
demand recovery, intensive arrivals of competitively-priced imports and expected
new plant start-ups.

Asia’s MIBK players pin hopes in 2023 rally
By Angeline Soh 15-Nov-22 16:38 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s methyl isobutyl ketone
(MIBK) players expressed hopes in a 2023 rally, after the easing of global
COVID-19 infection rates, and China’s easing of some of its strictest
restrictions based on its zero-Covid policy.

China eases COVID-19 curbs, petrochemical futures boosted
By Fanny Zhang 11-Nov-22 16:20 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China will relax its COVID-19
control measures in view of changing circumstances, shoring up equity markets
accordingly. The National Health Commission (NHC) announced 20 measures on
Friday in a push for more targeted and optimised control of the pandemic. Under
the new policies, the quarantine time for close contacts of cases is shortened
to five days in centralised locations from seven previously.

Asia ethylene little changed as players await direction from ’23 term talks
By Yeow Pei Lin 11-Nov-22 11:16 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s ethylene spot import
prices for December-arrival cargoes were broadly stable this week, as the weak
downstream margins and strong US arrivals continued to be counterbalanced by
limited regional supply.

Bearish sentiment dominates Asia November petrochemical markets
By Amy Yu 11-Nov-22 10:29 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Bearish sentiment in Asian
petrochemical markets has risen due to weak demand from late October, and we
expect prices of most products in the region to remain on a downward trend in
November.

US chem shares surge as broader market rises on positive inflation data
By Adam Yanelli 11-Nov-22 06:23 HOUSTON (ICIS)–US-listed shares of chemical
companies surged on Thursday, largely outperforming the broader market which
rose significantly on favourable economic data on inflation.The Dow Jones
Industrial Average rose by 3.7%, while the Dow Jones US Chemicals Index rose by
4.95% and the S&P 500 Chemicals Industry Index rose by 5%.

Europe PET buyers lured by imports, but demand questionable
By Caroline Murray 11-Nov-22 01:58LONDON (ICIS)–The window of opportunity for
polyethylene terephthalate (PET) importers appears wide due to Europe’s unique
cost situation, but demand is so low that PET buyers are unsure how to proceed.

British industrial demand to remain below previous years
By ICIS Editorial 10-Nov-22 01:05 LONDON (ICIS)–Despite recent pressure to NBP
Day-ahead and front month gas prices, a return to high levels of industrial
offtake in Britain is unlikely, ICIS analysis shows. Normal industrial demand
over the past five years has averaged 10mcm daily. However, since the rise of
gas prices in Britain, industrial gas offtake has dropped to around 5.6mcm from
January to November 2022.

EU, eurozone September chems prices decline modestly in split market
By Morgan Condon 10-Nov-22 01:30 LONDON (ICIS)–Chemical pricing in September was
mixed for European producers, with some key manufacturing nations bucking the
modest declines recorded in the eurozone and wider EU, according to the EU’s
statistical agency, Eurostat.

The latest data from Eurostat indicates that Italy and Poland recorded
single-figure gains compared with the previous month, supported by smaller gains
in France and Germany.

Asia BDO retreats on poor demand, weak domestic China market
By Clive Ong 10-Nov-22 11:27 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The Asian 1,4-butanediol (BDO)
market trended lower as demand in the region dissipated amid a poor economic
outlook. Some participants believe that demand in the region, in particular
China, could remain weak until after the Lunar New Year in late January.

Asia petrochemical markets mixed amid high inflation
By Felicia Loo 09-Nov-22 14:28 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s petrochemical markets
were mixed amid economic headwinds and dampening consumption in China amid a
slowing economy, with no let-up on its harsh zero COVID-19 policy, dampening
consumption.

China, India ethanolamines markets under downward pressure as demand wanes
By Clive Ong 10-Nov-22 14:28 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The ethanolamines markets in China
and India remain under downward pressure amid prevailing weak demand and ample
supply. Participants continue to expect weak markets in the near term as the
global economic outlook remains uncertain.

China’s MEC demand disrupted by zero-COVID strategy
By Keven Zhang 09-Nov-22 11:41 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s methylene chloride (MEC)
prices saw steep falls in the past two weeks due to disruption to its domestic
demand by the new round of lockdowns implemented to contain the COVID-19 spread
in the country, although production cutbacks may provide some support in the
near term.

INSIGHT: More pain for chemicals as US Federal Reserve has ‘a ways to go’ on
rate hikes
By Joseph Chang 03-Nov-22 06:25 NEW YORK (ICIS)–US and global chemical producers
will likely see more pain ahead as the US Federal Reserve still has a “ways to
go” in its tightening cycle to bring inflation down to its 2% target. It’s not
pausing or pivoting, and not budging from its target. The US equity market as
measured by the S&P 500 fell 2.5% on 2 November on disappointment that the Fed
gave no indication it will stop interest raising rates, other than acknowledging
it has already tightened monetary policy significantly. The Fed hiked its
benchmark rate by 0.75 percentage points – its third consecutive hike of that
magnitude – to a range of 3.75-4.00%. “Our message is clear – we think we have a
ways to go. We have some ground to cover with interest rates before we get to
that level… we think is sufficiently restrictive,” said Fed chair Jerome Powell
at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference.

INSIGHT: Asia October PMIs point to broadening export downturn
By Nurluqman Suratman 02-Nov-22 17:21 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Amid falling new orders
and inventory build-up, Asia’s export downturn is broadening with the latest
data pointing to further weakness in factory activity across the region. The
slowdown in manufacturing activity has now widened from northeast Asia to also
include southeast Asia amid waning export demand. Asia’s manufacturing
purchasing managers’ index (PMIs) fell in October to an average of 49.6, down
from 50.7 in September, due largely to a fall in new orders and lower production
as export orders weakened further.

China’s Oct petchem market falls on oversupply, poor confidence
By Yvonne Shi 02-Nov-22 12:57 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s petrochemical market fell
significantly in October. As of October 31, the ICIS China Petrochemical Price
Index (which tracks 17 commodities) dropped 5.4% from September 30 to close at
1220.11 points. The quick fall after a sharp rise after the National Day holiday
reflects sluggish demand and lack of market confidence. China’s petrochemical
market started the downtrend from the middle of the month till the end. An
official source before the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of
China disclosed that China’s epidemic prevention and control will continue to
adhere to the zero-COVID policy, which hit market confidence severely.

UK manufacturing sector output contracts further as new orders dry up
By Tom Brown 01-Nov-22 20:00 LONDON (ICIS)–UK manufacturing sector output
slipped further into contraction in October, and hit a 29-month low as new order
volumes shrank at the fastest rate since May 2020, according to data from S&P
Global on Tuesday. The sector purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell further in
the month, dropping to 46.2 from 48.4 in September, although they were stronger
than initial readings for the month of 45.8. A PMI score below 50.0 signifies
contraction. It was the third consecutive month of contraction for the sector,
as the economic outlook continued to deteriorate. New orders and new export
business both declined in the month. Players in the UK cited softer demand from
China, the war in Ukraine and ongoing obstacles to exporting posed by Brexit.
Business optimism slipped to the lowest level since the height of the COVID-19
pandemic.

China posts 3.9% Q3 GDP growth; President Xi secures third term
By Pearl Bantillo 24-Oct-22 13:21 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China posted an annualised
GDP growth of 3.9% in the third quarter, up from 0.4% in the previous quarter,
but a combination of a zero-COVID policy and a property downturn will continue
to weigh on the world’s second-biggest economy.

US economy continues to slow, recession likely – NABE survey
By Stefan Baumgarten 24-Oct-22 22:00 HOUSTON (ICIS)–The US economy continues to
slow and is likely already in recession or may soon be in recession, according
to findings in the latest business conditions survey by the National Association
for Business Economics (NABE) on Monday.

INSIGHT: Asia C3 to face headwinds in fourth quarter
By Julia Tan 25-Oct-22 10:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The Asian propylene market is
facing headwinds as it steps into the fourth quarter as demand looks likely to
remain weak until the end of the year on poor derivative margins.

China PP lacks post-holiday support as weak demand overshadows high costs
By Zhibo Xiao 27-Oct-22 12:34  SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Domestic polypropylene (PP)
prices in China rose and then fell after the country’s National Day holiday on
1-7 October as bearish demand outweighed the brief surge in crude values.

INSIGHT: A new world for Asia olefins as capacity surges, demand remains
uncertain
By Amy Yu 28-Oct-22 12:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The Asia olefins industry is
witnessing a new world of significantly squeezed margins for all producers, with
incremental capacity addtions set against the backdrop of weak demand.

CDI Economic Summary: Recession odds rise as slowdown takes hold amid Fed
tightening
By Kevin Swift 27-Oct-22 23:07 CHARLOTTE, North Carolina (ICIS)–Monetary
tightening across the world led by the US Federal Reserve, protracted inflation
and geopolitical events have raised the odds of recession in many major
economies.

Asia petrochemicals stay bearish as China keeps zero-COVID policy
By Nurluqman Suratman 21-Oct-22 11:40 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Bearish sentiment
prevails across Asia’s petrochemical markets with no immediate end in sight on
China’s zero-COVID strategy, which has been weighing on overall industrial
activities of the world’s second-biggest economy.

South and East Asia LAB quiet while rising feedstock costs squeeze margins
By Clive Ong 20-Oct-22 17:02 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The linear alkyl benzene (LAB)
market in East and South Asia remains quiet while suppliers talked of squeezed
margins from rising feedstock costs. The desire for higher values, however, were
countered by the persistently weak demand in the region.

India, SE Asia ethanolamines remain under pressure from competitive offers
By Clive Ong 20-Oct-22 15:13 SINGAPORE (ICIS)—The ethanolamines markets in
southeast Asia and India remain under downward pressure from competitive offers
and tepid demand. Participants anticipate further weakness in the near term as
the Chinese market looks set to remain weak.

INSIGHT: Japan economy to find succor in automotive output recovery
By Pearl Bantillo 20-Oct-22 12:25 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Japan may be able to count on
a recovery in car production, which should provide much-needed boosts to related
industries, including petrochemicals, to cushion its economic downturn.

INSIGHT: European home improvement sector slumps on economic slowdown,
post-COVID effects
By Nicole Simpson 19-Oct-22 21:33 LONDON (ICIS)–As the threat of recession looms
over Europe and consumers look to cut back on unnecessary spending, demand for
home improvement and do-it-yourself (DIY) goods has plummeted.

Asia oleochemicals market likely flat in Q4 on zero-COVID policy in China
By Helen Yan 19-Oct-22 12:44 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s oleochemicals market is
expected to remain flat in the fourth quarter due to the prevailing sluggish
demand from China amid its zero-COVID policy, which is expected to remain in
place for the rest of this year.

INSIGHT: Global demand slump eclipses Asia export benefits from currency falls
By Pearl Bantillo 18-Oct-22 13:14 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s tumbling currencies
will not spell strong exports for the region as a combination of surging
inflation and high interest rates slows the pace of global economic activities.

EPCA ’22: Chemicals supply chains lengthening, security of supply increasingly
important – Vopak CEO
By Nigel Davis 07-Oct-22 17:40 BERLIN (ICIS)–Chemicals supply chains are
becoming necessarily longer as consumers and producers see markets balancing
between imports and local production, the CEO at tank storage operator Vopak
said this week.

China September petrochemical markets up; demand outlook still bleak
By Yvonne Shi 11-Oct-22 14:16 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s petrochemical markets
were mostly higher in September on supply tightness in some products and aided
by pre-holiday restocking, but overall demand is not expected to improve by much
in the coming months.

IMF trims developing Asia growth outlook on China weakness
By Nurluqman Suratman 12-Oct-22 12:46 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The International
Monetary Fund (IMF) has trimmed its economic growth forecast for emerging and
developing Asian economies on account of China’s slowdown.

Asia BDO market faces lengthening supply, uncertain demand
By Clive Ong 13-Oct-22 13:07 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The nascent recovery in Asian’s
1,4-butanediol (BDO) market in September now faces the challenge of lengthening
supply with demand staying uncertain.

Singapore Q4 GDP growth slows to 4.4%, monetary policy tightened
By Nurluqman Suratman 14-Oct-22 11:37 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Singapore’s central bank
on Friday tightened its monetary policy to dampen persistent price pressures
which has slowed its economy to a year-on-year growth of 4.4% in the fourth
quarter.

EPCA ’22: Chemical industry may slow but must manage through cycle, Equate CEO
By Nigel Davis 06-Oct-22 17:11 BERLIN (ICIS)–The chemical industry may slow over
the next 12 months but it is a question of managing through the cycle, Equate’s
CEO Naser Aldousari said on the sidelines of EPCA 2022 on Wednesday. Aldousari
remains optimistic for the sector and emphasises its resilience.

Asia Q4 petrochemical demand faces headwinds as global economy slows
By Felicia Loo 06-Oct-22 14:28 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Petrochemical demand in Asia
will be largely undermined because regional factories face continued weakness in
export demand in the fourth quarter.

EPCA ’22: COVID-19 pandemic set gender parity back a generation – Dow exec
By Tom Brown 05-Oct-22 23:21 BERLIN (ICIS)–The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
set the progress of gender parity back 30 years, Dow’s head of inclusion and
diversity said on Wednesday, because of the disproportionate impact it had on
women’s participation in the labour market.

EPCA ’22: Europe ADA, nylon 6,6 demand may weaken further in October
By Marta Fern 05-Oct-22 16:00 LONDON (ICIS)–European adipic acid (ADA) and
downstream nylon 6,6 markets face affordability concerns, high costs of
production and competition with lower priced imports from Asia.

EPCA ’22: European auto output will only recover to pre-pandemic levels in 2025
– analyst
By Jonathan Lopez 04-Oct-22 18:21 BERLIN (ICIS)–Production from the European
petrochemicals-intensive automotive sector is unlikely to recover to
pre-pandemic levels until 2025 at the earliest, a chemicals analyst at the
Boston Consulting Group (BCG) said on Tuesday.
Andreas Gocke, global lead for chemicals at BCG, said the war in Ukraine and
supply-chain issues have only seen a further deterioration in the outlook for
the automotive sector, which was already negative in 2021.

EPCA ’22: Weak demand, wider uncertainty shapes Europe acrylate esters outlook
By Mathew Jolin-Beech 04-Oct-22 22:00 LONDON (ICIS)–Europe’s acrylate esters
markets are set to be gripped by ongoing weak demand and wider macroeconomic
uncertainty in Q4 and early 2023.

EPCA ’22: PODCAST: Europe petrochemicals face ‘winter of discontent

By Will Beacham 04-Oct-22 15:19 BERLIN (ICIS)–Europe’s petrochemical sector
faces a ‘winter of discontent’, battered by high energy costs, collapsing
downstream demand and increased imports from Asia. In this Think Tank podcast,
Will Beacham interviews ICIS Insight editor Nigel Davis, ICIS senior analyst
Lorenzo Meazza, and Paul Hodges, chairman of New Normal Consulting. The European
Petrochemicals Association (EPCA) annual meeting runs on 4-6 October in Berlin.

EPCA ‘22: Demand concerns loom over Europe PC market in Q4
By Miguel Rodriguez Fernandez 03-Oct-22 19:14 LONDON (ICIS)–Pessimism reigns in
the European polycarbonate (PC) market moving into the end of 2022 as demand
from the key customer sectors is likely to remain tepid due to Europe’s dim
macroeconomic outlook.

INSIGHT: Trends converging to create Q4 glut in US plastics
By Al Greenwood 30-Sep-22 05:21 HOUSTON (ICIS)–North American polymer markets
are facing a growing glut because of weakening demand, expanding capacity and
rising inventories.

Europe economic sentiment dropping as Germany on brink of recession
By Morgan Condon 29-Sep-22 23:13 LONDON (ICIS)–European economic sentiment
continued falling in September, for both the EU and the eurozone, and the German
economy is heading towards a recession, as sentiment is shaped by sustained high
energy prices.

Lockdowns, property crisis to slow China 2022 GDP growth to 2.8% – World Bank
By Nurluqman Suratman 29-Sep-22 13:3 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China, the world’s
second-biggest economy, is projected to grow at a much slower pace of 2.8% this
year compared with an earlier forecast of 5.0%, according to the World Bank,
amid the country’s zero-COVID policy and ongoing property crisis.

INSIGHT: India PVC market weathers stormy first half, safeguard investigation
begins
By Damini Dabholkar 29-Sep-22 11:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS) –India’s polyvinyl chloride
(PVC) market stabilised slightly in September, after having weathered a storm
over the previous 12 months.

China’s PE prices rebound, eyes on demand sustainability
By Sijia Li 28-Sep-22 12:11 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s polyethylene (PE) prices
have rebounded following continual declines in the past two months, finding
support from improved end-user demand during the September-October traditional
peak season.

INSIGHT: High cost threatens Asia petrochemical output as regional currencies
tumble
By Pearl Bantillo 27-Sep-22 12:26 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s petrochemical
production is at risk of shrinking further as imported raw materials get more
expensive each day that Asian currencies tumble to new lows.

INSIGHT: Russia-Ukraine war, surging inflation continue to dim growth
expectations
By Tom Brown 27-Sep-22 00:17 LONDON (ICIS)–The outlook for global growth is
continuing to darken as the economy loses momentum in the wake of the
Russia-Ukraine war, with fresh economic projections pointing to a substantial
deterioration in prospects from 2023 even relative to a few months ago

US HB Fuller sees rebound in Asia, slowdown in Europe
By Al Greenwood 23-Sep-22 05:43 HOUSON (ICIS)–HB Fuller began to see a rebound
in Asian demand during its fiscal third quarter because China is reopening from
its COVID-19 lockdowns, the US-based adhesives producer said on Thursday, a
trend that other chemical producers have yet to see.

INSIGHT: US plastics becomes sixth-largest industry
By Melissa Wheeler 22-Sep-22 23:21 HOUSTON (ICIS)–The US plastics industry has
moved two spots up to become the sixth-largest industry in the country,
according to the Plastics Industry Association (PLASTICS).

Asia MEG market under pressure as downstream cuts operation to ease high
inventories
By Judith Wang 22-Sep-22 18:13 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s monoethylene glycol (MEG)
market has been under pressure during the week as downstream polyester sector
initiated another round of operation cuts in a bid to relieve inventory
pressure.

INSIGHT: Widespread demand reduction makes a tough quarter tougher
By Nigel Davis 21-Sep-22 23:49 LONDON (ICIS)–It has been a tough third quarter
for most upstream producers of chemicals and others as weaker demand and rising
costs have combined to hit earnings and shift guidance.

US inland truck capacity increases as demand remains firm
By Adam Yanelli 21-Sep-22 05:15 HOUSTON (ICIS)–Spot and contract rates for
inland truck deliveries have fallen from record-highs as capacity has increased
and demand has remained strong, according to panelists on a webinar hosted by
supply chain market intelligence provider Freightwaves.

INSIGHT: Asia petrochemical market to rebound in September
By Amy Yu 15-Sep-22 18:17 SINGAPORE (ICIS)– Some Asia petrochemical prices
rebounded in early September after the decrease in August.

ANALYSIS AND RESOURCES
































READ MORE


ICIS PREMIUM NEWS SERVICE

The subscription platform provides access to our full range of breaking news and
analysis

Contact us now to find out more


SPEAK TO ICIS


RELATED STORIES


CF INDUSTRIES AND NEXTERA ENERGY RESOURCES JOIN FOR ZERO-CARBON HYDROGEN PROJECT
IN OKLAHOMA




USDA SAYS 14% OF CORN, 9% OF SOYBEANS ARE NOW PLANTED




PHOSPHATE PRODUCER ITAFOS TO ADVANCE IDAHO MINE DEVELOPMENT WITH RESOURCES
EXPECTED BY 2026




AMERICAS TOP STORIES: WEEKLY SUMMARY




YOU MIGHT ALSO BE INTERESTED IN

HYDROGEN: THE TIME HAS COME

Gain insight on the energy transition and the future of hydrogen.


THREE FACTORS THAT WILL SHAPE THE FUTURE OF POWER

Europe’s move away from Russian gas sparked by the war in Ukraine has ushered in
a global energy crisis that has left electricity prices high; with energy
security now threatened, power has become a significant priority in many
countries.


GLOBAL FERTILIZER TRADE MAP

Produced by ICIS experts in partnership with IFA


WEBINAR: THE GLOBAL GAS MARKET AND ITS GROWING INFLUENCE ON US NATURAL GAS

ICIS Webinar: The global gas market and its growing influence on US natural gas



SPEAK WITH ICIS

Now, more than ever, dynamic insights are key to navigating complex, volatile
commodity markets. Access to expert insights on the latest industry developments
and tracking market changes are vital in making sustainable business decisions.

Want to learn about how we can work together to bring you actionable insight and
support your business decisions?

GET IN TOUCH



Need Help?

Speak with ICIS

FOLLOW US

 * 

SOLUTIONS

 * Services
 * Sectors

GET IN TOUCH

 * Contact us
 * Speak to ICIS

USEFUL LINKS

 * About ICIS
 * Compliance & Methodology
 * Commodity finder
 * Resource hub
 * Latest news
 * Careers
 * Sitemap

FOLLOW US

 * 

 * About ICIS
 * Terms
 * Speak to ICIS
 * Compliance

 * Terms
 * Cookie Policy
 * Cookie Settings | Your Privacy Choices
 * Disclaimer
 * Privacy Policy
 * Security



ICIS® is a brand of LexisNexis® Risk Solutions, part of RELX.

Copyright © 2023 LexisNexis Risk Solutions





COOKIE PREFERENCE CENTRE

We use cookies that are necessary to make our site work. We may also use
additional cookies to analyse, improve, and personalize our content and
advertisements and your digital experience. For more information, see our Cookie
Policy and the list of Google ad technology providers. You can choose to reject
some types of cookies. However, blocking some types may impact your experience
of our site and the services we are able to offer. Click the category headings
below to find out more or change your settings.
Cookie Policy
Allow All


MANAGE CONSENT PREFERENCES

STRICTLY NECESSARY COOKIES

Always Active

These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched
off in our systems. They are usually only set in response to actions made by you
which amount to a request for services, such as setting your privacy
preferences, logging in or filling in forms. You can set your browser to block
or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work.
These cookies do not store any personally identifiable information.



Cookies Details‎

PERFORMANCE COOKIES

Performance Cookies

These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and
improve the performance of our site. They help us to know which pages are the
most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site.

Cookies Details‎

FUNCTIONAL COOKIES

Functional Cookies

These cookies enable the website to provide enhanced functionality and
personalisation. They may be set by us or by third party providers whose
services we have added to our pages. If you do not allow these cookies then some
or all of these services may not function properly.

Cookies Details‎

TARGETING COOKIES

Targeting Cookies

These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners. They may
be used by those companies to build a profile of your interests and show you
relevant adverts on other sites. If you do not allow these cookies, you will
experience less targeted advertising.

Cookies Details‎
Back Button


PERFORMANCE COOKIES



Vendor Search Search Icon
Filter Icon

Clear
checkbox label label
Apply Cancel
Consent Leg.Interest
checkbox label label
checkbox label label
checkbox label label

 * 
   
   View Cookies
   
    * Name
      cookie name

Confirm My Choices



COOKIES

We use cookies that are necessary to make our site work. We may also use
additional cookies to analyze, improve, and personalize our content and your
digital experience. For more information, see ourCookie Policy.

Manage Cookie Settings Accept All Cookies