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Submission Tags: falconsandbox
Submission: On August 25 via api from US — Scanned from DE
Form analysis 1 forms found in the DOM
Name: RefinitivPerspectives —
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Afghanistan
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Albania
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<li id="Algeria">
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Algeria
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<li id="American Samoa">
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American Samoa
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<li id="Andorra">
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Andorra
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<li id="Angola">
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Angola
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<li id="Anguilla">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Anguilla
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<li id="Antarctica">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Antarctica
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<li id="Antigua and Barbuda">
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Antigua and Barbuda
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<li id="Argentina">
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Argentina
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<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Armenia
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<li id="Aruba">
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Aruba
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<li id="Australia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Australia
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<li id="Austria">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Austria
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<li id="Azerbaijan">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Azerbaijan
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<li id="Bahamas">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Bahamas
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<li id="Bahrain">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Bahrain
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<li id="Bangladesh">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Bangladesh
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<li id="Barbados">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Barbados
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</li>
<li id="Belarus">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Belarus
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</li>
<li id="Belgium">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Belgium
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</li>
<li id="Belize">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Belize
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</li>
<li id="Benin">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Benin
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</li>
<li id="Bermuda">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Bermuda
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</li>
<li id="Bhutan">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Bhutan
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</li>
<li id="Bolivia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Bolivia
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</li>
<li id="Bosnia and Herzegovina">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Bosnia and Herzegovina
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</li>
<li id="Botswana">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Botswana
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<li id="Bouvet Island">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Bouvet Island
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<li id="Brazil">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Brazil
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</li>
<li id="British Indian Ocean Territory">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
British Indian Ocean Territory
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</li>
<li id="Brunei Darussalam">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Brunei Darussalam
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<li id="Bulgaria">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Bulgaria
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</li>
<li id="Burkina Faso">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Burkina Faso
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</li>
<li id="Burundi">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Burundi
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</li>
<li id="Cambodia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Cambodia
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</li>
<li id="Cameroon">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Cameroon
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</li>
<li id="Canada">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Canada
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</li>
<li id="Cape Verde">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Cape Verde
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</li>
<li id="Cayman Islands">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Cayman Islands
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</li>
<li id="Central African Republic">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Central African Republic
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</li>
<li id="Chad">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Chad
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</li>
<li id="Chile">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Chile
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</li>
<li id="China">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
China
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</li>
<li id="Christmas Island">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Christmas Island
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</li>
<li id="Cocos (Keeling) Islands">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Cocos (Keeling) Islands
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</li>
<li id="Colombia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Colombia
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</li>
<li id="Comoros">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Comoros
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</li>
<li id="Congo">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Congo
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</li>
<li id="Congo, The Democratic Republic of the">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Congo, The Democratic Republic of the
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</li>
<li id="Cook Islands">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Cook Islands
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<li id="Costa Rica">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Costa Rica
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</li>
<li id="Cote D'Ivoire">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Cote D'Ivoire
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<li id="Croatia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Croatia
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</li>
<li id="Cuba">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Cuba
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</li>
<li id="Cyprus">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Cyprus
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</li>
<li id="Czech Republic">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Czech Republic
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</li>
<li id="Denmark">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Denmark
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</li>
<li id="Djibouti">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Djibouti
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</li>
<li id="Dominica">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Dominica
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</li>
<li id="Dominican Republic">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Dominican Republic
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</li>
<li id="Ecuador">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Ecuador
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</li>
<li id="Egypt">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Egypt
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</li>
<li id="El Salvador">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
El Salvador
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</li>
<li id="Equatorial Guinea">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Equatorial Guinea
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</li>
<li id="Eritrea">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Eritrea
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</li>
<li id="Estonia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Estonia
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</li>
<li id="Ethiopia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Ethiopia
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</li>
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<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)
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<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Faroe Islands
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Fiji
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<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Finland
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Fmr Yugoslav Rep of Macedonia
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France
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<li id="French Guiana">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
French Guiana
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<li id="French Polynesia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
French Polynesia
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<li id="French Southern Territories">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
French Southern Territories
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<li id="Gabon">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Gabon
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<li id="Gambia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Gambia
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<li id="Georgia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Georgia
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</li>
<li id="Germany">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Germany
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</li>
<li id="Ghana">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Ghana
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</li>
<li id="Gibraltar">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Gibraltar
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</li>
<li id="Greece">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Greece
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</li>
<li id="Greenland">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Greenland
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</li>
<li id="Grenada">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Grenada
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</li>
<li id="Guadeloupe">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Guadeloupe
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</li>
<li id="Guam">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Guam
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</li>
<li id="Guatemala">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Guatemala
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</li>
<li id="Guinea">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Guinea
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</li>
<li id="Guinea-Bissau">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Guinea-Bissau
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</li>
<li id="Guyana">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Guyana
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</li>
<li id="Haiti">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Haiti
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</li>
<li id="Heard and McDonald Islands">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Heard and McDonald Islands
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</li>
<li id="Honduras">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Honduras
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</li>
<li id="Hong Kong">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Hong Kong
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</li>
<li id="Hungary">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Hungary
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</li>
<li id="Iceland">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Iceland
</a>
</li>
<li id="India">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
India
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</li>
<li id="Indonesia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Indonesia
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</li>
<li id="Iran (Islamic Republic Of)">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Iran (Islamic Republic Of)
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</li>
<li id="Iraq">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Iraq
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</li>
<li id="Ireland">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Ireland
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</li>
<li id="Israel">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Israel
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</li>
<li id="Italy">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Italy
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</li>
<li id="Jamaica">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Jamaica
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</li>
<li id="Japan">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Japan
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</li>
<li id="Jordan">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Jordan
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</li>
<li id="Kazakhstan">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Kazakhstan
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</li>
<li id="Kenya">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Kenya
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</li>
<li id="Kiribati">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Kiribati
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</li>
<li id="Korea, Democratic People's Rep">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Korea, Democratic People's Rep
</a>
</li>
<li id="Korea, Republic of">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Korea, Republic of
</a>
</li>
<li id="Kuwait">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Kuwait
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</li>
<li id="Kyrgyzstan">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Kyrgyzstan
</a>
</li>
<li id="Lao People's Democratic Rep">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Lao People's Democratic Rep
</a>
</li>
<li id="Latvia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Latvia
</a>
</li>
<li id="Lebanon">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Lebanon
</a>
</li>
<li id="Lesotho">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Lesotho
</a>
</li>
<li id="Liberia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Liberia
</a>
</li>
<li id="Libyan Arab Jamahiriya">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya
</a>
</li>
<li id="Liechtenstein">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Liechtenstein
</a>
</li>
<li id="Lithuania">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Lithuania
</a>
</li>
<li id="Luxembourg">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Luxembourg
</a>
</li>
<li id="Macau">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Macau
</a>
</li>
<li id="Madagascar">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Madagascar
</a>
</li>
<li id="Malawi">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Malawi
</a>
</li>
<li id="Malaysia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Malaysia
</a>
</li>
<li id="Maldives">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Maldives
</a>
</li>
<li id="Mali">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Mali
</a>
</li>
<li id="Malta">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Malta
</a>
</li>
<li id="Marshall Islands">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Marshall Islands
</a>
</li>
<li id="Martinique">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Martinique
</a>
</li>
<li id="Mauritania">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Mauritania
</a>
</li>
<li id="Mauritius">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Mauritius
</a>
</li>
<li id="Mayotte">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Mayotte
</a>
</li>
<li id="Mexico">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Mexico
</a>
</li>
<li id="Micronesia, Federated States">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Micronesia, Federated States
</a>
</li>
<li id="Moldova, Republic of">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Moldova, Republic of
</a>
</li>
<li id="Monaco">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Monaco
</a>
</li>
<li id="Mongolia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Mongolia
</a>
</li>
<li id="Montenegro">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Montenegro
</a>
</li>
<li id="Montserrat">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Montserrat
</a>
</li>
<li id="Morocco">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Morocco
</a>
</li>
<li id="Mozambique">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Mozambique
</a>
</li>
<li id="Myanmar">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Myanmar
</a>
</li>
<li id="Namibia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Namibia
</a>
</li>
<li id="Nauru">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Nauru
</a>
</li>
<li id="Nepal">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Nepal
</a>
</li>
<li id="Netherlands">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Netherlands
</a>
</li>
<li id="Netherlands Antilles">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Netherlands Antilles
</a>
</li>
<li id="New Caledonia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
New Caledonia
</a>
</li>
<li id="New Zealand">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
New Zealand
</a>
</li>
<li id="Nicaragua">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Nicaragua
</a>
</li>
<li id="Niger">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Niger
</a>
</li>
<li id="Nigeria">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Nigeria
</a>
</li>
<li id="Niue">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Niue
</a>
</li>
<li id="Norfolk Island">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Norfolk Island
</a>
</li>
<li id="Northern Mariana Islands">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Northern Mariana Islands
</a>
</li>
<li id="Norway">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Norway
</a>
</li>
<li id="Oman">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Oman
</a>
</li>
<li id="Pakistan">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Pakistan
</a>
</li>
<li id="Palau">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Palau
</a>
</li>
<li id="Palestinian Territory, Occupied">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Palestinian Territory, Occupied
</a>
</li>
<li id="Panama">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Panama
</a>
</li>
<li id="Papua New Guinea">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Papua New Guinea
</a>
</li>
<li id="Paraguay">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Paraguay
</a>
</li>
<li id="Peru">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Peru
</a>
</li>
<li id="Philippines">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Philippines
</a>
</li>
<li id="Pitcairn">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Pitcairn
</a>
</li>
<li id="Poland">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Poland
</a>
</li>
<li id="Portugal">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Portugal
</a>
</li>
<li id="Puerto Rico">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Puerto Rico
</a>
</li>
<li id="Qatar">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Qatar
</a>
</li>
<li id="Reunion">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Reunion
</a>
</li>
<li id="Romania">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Romania
</a>
</li>
<li id="Russian Federation">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Russian Federation
</a>
</li>
<li id="Rwanda">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Rwanda
</a>
</li>
<li id="Saint Helena">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Saint Helena
</a>
</li>
<li id="Saint Kitts and Nevis">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Saint Kitts and Nevis
</a>
</li>
<li id="Saint Lucia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Saint Lucia
</a>
</li>
<li id="Saint Pierre and Miquelon">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Saint Pierre and Miquelon
</a>
</li>
<li id="Samoa">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Samoa
</a>
</li>
<li id="San Marino">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
San Marino
</a>
</li>
<li id="Sao Tome and Principe">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Sao Tome and Principe
</a>
</li>
<li id="Saudi Arabia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Saudi Arabia
</a>
</li>
<li id="Senegal">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Senegal
</a>
</li>
<li id="Serbia">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Serbia
</a>
</li>
<li id="Seychelles">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Seychelles
</a>
</li>
<li id="Sierra Leone">
<a href="javascript:void(0)">
Sierra Leone
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COVID-19
THE CORONA CORRECTION ISN’T BLIND PANIC. IT’S MARKETS DRILLING THE DATA
Mar 4, 2020
5 min
*
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David Craig
Group Head of Data & Analytics for LSEG and CEO of Refinitiv
Panic. That’s how the world’s media characterized last week’s sharp drops on
financial markets as the threat from coronavirus (COVID-19) became clear.
Over $5 trillion was wiped off stock indices in five days and the S&P500 had
its worst week since the Global Financial Crisis. No wonder the Fed moved to cut
rates on Tuesday (3 March 2020) .
A turbulent week, no doubt about it. But is this characterization of panic (and
the implication that markets acted on emotion) a fair one? If not, what does it
say about where markets go next as we enter uncharted territory on COVID-19?
From tulips to blue chips
Historically, heart has ruled head when it comes to the way in which markets
have reacted to black swan events. But is this still the case in our data-driven
age? Just because our 17th Century forebears manically piled into tulip
contracts, or in 1929 went with their gut in dumping everything, we shouldn’t
assume today’s ‘corona correction’ is the triumph of emotion (i.e. fear) over
hard-headed analysis.
In fact, I would argue that what happened last week was not panic at all, but a
clear, news and data-driven response to a fast-shifting set of circumstances.
First, it appears to be a move by markets already looking distinctly ‘toppy’ and
were looking for a trigger to correct. Surely the more irrational position was
the one in which global stocks found themselves in mid-February: touching a
record high even as virologists were scrabbling to define the severity, length
and spread of this outbreak.
In that sense, a correction which takes the heat out markets could be a silver
lining. Traders are hurting, yes, but in reality we have only retreated to
levels reached last October. The bulk of the gains, made over a decade-long
rally, remain intact.
Second, market participants are not suddenly dumping positions because they
cannot withstand the tidal force of this correction. In large part, these falls
are a considered response to the fact that coronavirus combines a threat to
global demand, global supply and to global financial markets and, furthermore,
that the data suggests this outbreak has a way to go yet.
Uncharted territory
To get a sense of how serious the current situation is, just look at these
charts from Refinitiv’s Coronavirus App. In contrast to the steady rise of cases
during the SARS outbreak of 2003, the number of COVID-19 cases is increasing
far, far more rapidly and doesn’t look like tailing off.
The fact that we are all becoming amateur epidemiologists right now highlights
just what a complex job market participants have in trying to price assets
accurately. No longer is their job only about trading statements and yield
curves, but medical research papers and mortality charts too. Not surprisingly
18 of the 20 top stories accessed on Refinitiv Eikon in the past fortnight have
related to coronavirus.
I would go so far as to say the range of alternative data sources that financial
markets are having to consult is without precedent and spurs me on in terms of
the emphasis our firm has already placed on ‘alt data’.
The Refinitiv Eikon Coronavirus App has received 9 million hits in just over a
month.
From here on, the job for financial markets is to balance information around the
global spread and speed of coronavirus, with data from a number of lead economic
indicators. Already the global economy’s warning lights are flashing amber;
measures like the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) – a proxy for global trade flows –
which had already fallen 80% since September on the back of Sino-US trade
tensions.
Some commentators are optimistically predicting a ‘V’ shaped recovery. Others
are digging in for a long and grim 2020. My advice is to ignore both and to keep
drilling the data dispassionately. I’m pleased to say that, so far during this
outbreak, that’s exactly what most participants in our complex financial markets
are doing.
HOW TO TRACK THE MARKET DEVELOPMENTS:
The Corona Virus app in Eikon is your single destination to keep track on the
key market moving headlines as well as the charts, data and impact analysis on
the markets, sectors and commodities asset classes. If you’re an Eikon user,
simply search for ‘Corona Virus’. If you’re not a user, get access now or switch
to Eikon.
* Watch our unique series of video insights covering various sectors and asset
classes. entitled the #CoronaCorrection Series, jointly produced with Real
Vision.
* Follow our LinkedIn, Twitter and YouTube social media channel communities for
the latest updates.
* Listen and review the webcast recording of our client webinar with Dr.
Richard Peterson, MarketPysch’s CEO and Refinitiv’s Richard Goldman Market
Development Director, Quant and Feeds, who presented Refinitiv’s research and
insights on the current pandemic; reviewing the impact across different
sectors in APAC.
* Coronavirus
* COVID-19
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