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Senate
Tied

48
4
48
House
GOP leads

183
46
206
Live updates

Your races

2022 ELECTION RESULTS

CONTROL OF THE SENATE COMES DOWN TO THREE RACES.

Last updated: Nov. 9, 2022 10:45 p.m. GMT

50 seats

48 DEMS

GOP 48

36 not up for election

29 not up for election

Our predictions for 4 remaining races

0 Solid Dem

0 Likely Dem

0 Leans Dem

3 Toss-Up

1 Solid GOP

0 Likely GOP

0 Leans GOP

It's now a best of three contest for the Senate majority. Republicans and
Democrats must await results from toss-up races in Arizona, Nevada and Georgia
and whichever party wins at least two of them will claim control of the Senate.
If they split Arizona and Nevada, the two parties will have to wait even longer:
Neither Raphael Warnock nor Herschel Walker hit the 50 percent threshold needed
to win outright, meaning the two men will square off again in a runoff election
scheduled for early next month.

Louis Nelson, Breaking news editor

WHO’S WINNING THE SENATE?

Dems leading/won
GOP leading/won

No race
Runoff

Seats

States

Special
electionsCA*CA*OK*OK*ALALAKAKAZAZARARCACACOCOCTCTDEDEFLFLGAGAHIHIIDIDILILININIAIAKSKSKYKYLALAMEMEMDMDMAMAMIMIMNMNMSMSMOMOMTMTNENENVNVNHNHNJNJNMNMNYNYNCNCNDNDOHOHOKOKORORPAPARIRISCSCSDSDTNTNTXTXUTUTVTVTVAVAWAWAWVWVWIWIWYWY

RACES WE’RE WATCHING

U.S. SENATOR, ARIZONA

CandidateVotesPct.

Kelly* (D)935,47251.2%

Masters (R)852,22146.6%

Victor (Libertarian Party)39,2992.2%

*Incumbent

67% of vote in

Steve Shepard, Politics editor:

Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly's once-significant lead over Republican Blake Masters
evaporated in the race's closing weeks.

Collapse

U.S. SENATOR, GEORGIA

CandidateVotesPct.

Warnock* (D)1,941,49949.4%

Walker (R)1,906,24648.5%

Oliver (Libertarian Party)81,1752.1%

*Incumbent

98% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, NEVADA

CandidateVotesPct.

Laxalt (R)418,46149.9%

Cortez Masto* (D)395,86647.2%

None of these candidates 9,6451.1%

Other candidates
14,9631.8%

*Incumbent

77% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, PENNSYLVANIA

CandidateVotesPct.

Fetterman (D)2,642,40650.5%

Oz (R)2,460,60247.1%

Gerhardt (Libertarian Party)71,4591.4%

Other candidates
55,0701.1%

95% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, WISCONSIN

CandidateVotesPct.

Johnson* (R)1,334,68050.5%

Barnes (D)1,307,28349.5%

*Incumbent

99% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, NEW HAMPSHIRE

CandidateVotesPct.

Hassan* (D)322,18053.4%

Bolduc (R)268,99044.6%

Kauffman (Libertarian Party)11,7952.0%

*Incumbent

96% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, NORTH CAROLINA

CandidateVotesPct.

Budd (R)1,891,34250.7%

Beasley (D)1,755,71647.1%

Bray (Libertarian Party)50,8121.4%

Hoh (Green Party)29,1630.8%

98% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, OHIO

CandidateVotesPct.

Vance (R)2,147,89853.3%

Ryan (D)1,883,22346.7%

97% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, COLORADO

CandidateVotesPct.

Bennet* (D)1,061,21654.8%

O'Dea (R)824,83842.6%

Peotter (Libertarian Party)29,9521.5%

Other candidates
20,4081.1%

*Incumbent

83% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, WASHINGTON

CandidateVotesPct.

Murray* (D)980,19957.0%

Smiley (R)738,61843.0%

*Incumbent

57% of vote in

Why this race matters

WHO WON THE TOSS-UPS?

We rated 10 Senate races as tossups or likely narrow wins. So far, Democrats
have won more of them.

TOSSUPS

StateFlipped or heldMarginPct. inNew Hampshire

HeldD+8.8

96% Pennsylvania

dem flip
D+3.5

95% Wisconsin

HeldR+1

99% ArizonaD+4.6

67% GeorgiaD+0.9

98% NevadaR+2.7

77%

LEANS DEM

StateFlipped or heldMarginPct. inColorado

HeldD+12.2

83% Washington

HeldD+14.1

57%

LEANS GOP

StateFlipped or heldMarginPct. inNorth Carolina

HeldR+3.6

98% Ohio

HeldR+6.6

97%

FLIPS AND SIGNIFICANT SHIFTS

Flips to Democrats

Republicans won these seats last cycle, but Democrats have flipped them in 2022.

Vote margin

D+60

D+40

D+20

R+20

R+40

R+60

Pennsylvania

Flips to Republicans

Likewise, Republicans have won these formerly Democratic seats.

Vote margin

D+60

D+40

D+20

R+20

R+40

R+60

No called races in this category yet

Races that got more competitive

These seats didn’t switch parties in 2022 — but their winning margins narrowed
by five or more points.

Vote margin

D+60

D+40

D+20

R+20

R+40

R+60

Oklahoma

+15

Idaho

North Dakota

+33

Kansas

Utah

+29

Iowa

+13

Ohio

+15

Hawaii

Connecticut

+15

Oregon

+12

New York

+31

Races that got less competitive

In each of these seats, the winning party expanded their win margin in 2022.

Vote margin

D+60

D+40

D+20

R+20

R+40

R+60

Alabama

Arkansas

+10

Kentucky

Indiana

+11

Florida

Missouri

+10

Vermont

+10

Colorado

New Hampshire

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING ON ELECTION DAY

How redistricting is shaping Election Night
Re-drawn congressional districts shuffled the seats in play. We’re watching
who’s getting a boost.

Donald Trump’s personal midterm scorecard
Are followers of “Trumpism” winning their elections? We have a live tally.

How and when states vote on Nov. 8
Our list of voting laws and poll closing times in every state.
Nationwide governors results
How races for each state's highest office are shaking out.
Ballot measures across the country
As power shifts to the states, voter referendums matter more than ever. We’re
tracking them all.
U.S. Senate race calls
We're watching every cable network to mark when they call a race for a Senate
candidate.
State-by-state results
AlabamaAlaskaArizonaArkansasCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDelawareFloridaGeorgia
HawaiiIdahoIllinoisIndianaIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMaineMaryland
MassachusettsMichiganMinnesotaMississippiMissouriMontanaNebraskaNevadaNew
HampshireNew Jersey
New MexicoNew YorkNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode
IslandSouth Carolina
South DakotaTennesseeTexasUtahVermontVirginiaWashingtonWest
VirginiaWisconsinWyoming

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS?

Contact our team at interactives@politico.com.

DATA SOURCES

Associated Press, Federal Election Commission, House of Representatives clerk’s
office, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Census Bureau

DESIGN AND DEVELOPMENT

Project lead: Allan James Vestal

Editing: Andrew Briz, Andrew McGill, Lily Mihalik Bhandari, Allan James Vestal

Design & engineering: Aaron Albright, Kai Elwood-Dieu, Paula Friedrich, Beatrice
Jin, Rashida Kamal, Andrew Milligan

STAFF ANALYSIS

Scott Bland, Annette Choi, Rishika Dugyala, Marissa Martinez, Zach Montellaro,
Steve Shepard, Jessica Piper, Mackenzie Wilkes

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