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SHAPE YOUR CONVICTION™


BCA RESEARCH IS THE LEADING INDEPENDENT PROVIDER OF GLOBAL INVESTMENT RESEARCH

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EXPLORE OUR WRITTEN RESEARCH

GLOBAL INVESTMENT STRATEGY


2024 KEY VIEWS: HERE COMES THE KINK

By Peter Berezin

We have been using our kinked Phillips curve framework to gauge the likely
evolution of the US economy. To recap, the framework says that there is a
nonlinear relationship between inflation and unemployment. Such a nonlinear
relationship has been visible throughout history and appeared most recently
during the pandemic.

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CHINA INVESTMENT STRATEGY / EMERGING MARKETS STRATEGY


2024 KEY VIEWS: CHINA IS IN A DEFLATIONARY TRAP

By Arthur Budaghyan

The overarching macro theme for China in 2024 will be deflation and its impact
on the economy, macro policies, and financial markets. Widespread deflation, in
combination with high debt levels and falling real estate prices, had unleashed
debt inflation and balance sheet recession dynamics.

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THE BANK CREDIT ANALYST


OUTLOOK 2024: THE END OF THE EASY MONEY ERA

By Jonathan Laberge

At the end of each year, BCA Research’s long-time clients Mr. X and his
daughter, Ms. X, visit our office to discuss the economic and financial market
outlook for the year that lies ahead. This client interview has become most
anticipated and well-read by all of our clients...

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GEOPOLITCAL STRATEGY


KEY VIEWS: GEOPOLITICS IN 2024

By Matt Gertken

Global instability will continue in 2024 – whatever happens afterward. Slowing
economies will exacerbate already high geopolitical risk and policy uncertainty
stemming from the US election and foreign challenges to US leadership.
Overweight government bonds, defensive sectors, the Americas versus other
regions...

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CUSTOM DISCUSSIONS WITH THE WORLD’S TOP STRATEGISTS TO SHAPE YOUR CONVICTION AND
UNLOCK ALPHA.

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WATCH OUR CUSTOM DISCUSSIONS

GLOBAL INVESTMENT STRATEGY


IN CONVERSATION WITH PETER BEREZIN

To make a call on any asset class or market, one needs to connect the dots
across the global macro space since everything is interlinked. EM/China
Investment Strategy has four key themes for 2024...

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GLOBAL ASSET ALLOCATION


IN CONVERSATION WITH GARRY EVANS

Global Asset Allocation Strategy maintains that tight monetary policy will
eventually trigger a recession in 2024. We recommend that you keep a close eye
on capex to see when tighter lending standards start to bite...

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CHINA INVESTMENT STRATEGY / EMERGING MARKETS STRATEGY


IN CONVERSATION WITH ARTHUR BUDAGHYAN

To make a call on any asset class or market, one needs to connect the dots
across the global macro space since everything is interlinked...

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EUROPEAN INVESTMENT STRATEGY


IN CONVERSATION WITH MATHIEU SAVARY

European Investment Strategy discusses eight themes that will drive returns for
European assets in 2024. What is the near-term outlook for the Eurozone? How
long until Europe...

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OUR MACRO RESEARCH SERVICES


MULTI ASSET: GLOBAL

Investment narratives derived from global macroeconomic and geopolitical
intelligence.

BCA Live & Unfiltered Counterpoint Private Markets & Alternatives The Bank
Credit Analyst Daily Insights Geopolitcal Strategy Global Asset Allocation
Global Investment Strategy


MULTI ASSET: REGIONAL

Measured impact in specific regions of pertinent global information

US Political Strategy China Investment Strategy Emerging Markets Strategy
European Investment Strategy US Investment Strategy


SINGLE ASSET

Pinpointed macro effects on specific asset classes

Commodity & Energy Strategy Foreign Exchange Strategy Global Fixed Income
Strategy US Bond Strategy US Equity Strategy


OUR EXPERTS

A WORLDWIDE GROUP OF MORE THAN 60 FINANCIAL EXPERTS


ERIC JAFFE

CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER

Eric Jaffe was appointed Chief Executive Officer of BCA Research on November 27,
2023. Eric was previously Managing Director and Global Head of Content at GLG, a
private equity-owned expert-access and insight business.


NICOLETTA MANOLEAS

MANAGING DIRECTOR

Nicoletta Manoleas has been with BCA Research since 1985 and is currently the
Managing Director


ARTHUR BUDAGHYAN

CHIEF STRATEGIST

Arthur is currently BCA Research’s Chief Strategist, Emerging Markets Strategy.
Since joining BCA Research in 1999, he has been responsible for EM trading
strategies and became the Chief Strategist of the Emerging Markets Strategy in
2005.


GARRY EVANS

CHIEF STRATEGIST

Garry is currently BCA Research’s Chief Strategist, Global Asset Allocation.
Since joining BCA Research in 2015, Garry has headed the Global Asset Allocation
Service as well as being involved in Emerging Market Sector Strategy.


PETER BEREZIN

CHIEF STRATEGIST

Peter is currently BCA Research’s Chief Global Strategist and Research Director.
Since joining BCA Research in 2010, he has served as Managing Editor of The Bank
Credit Analyst as well as helping to develop and launch BCA Research’s Equity
Analyzer Service.


MATT GERTKEN, PHD

CHIEF STRATEGIST

Matt is currently BCA Research’s Chief Strategist, Geopolitical Strategy. He
oversees the firm’s coverage of market-relevant geopolitical, political, and
policy developments across the world.


CHESTER NTONIFOR

STRATEGIST

Chester is currently BCA Research’s Strategist, Foreign Exchange Strategy. He
first joined BCA Research in 2008 and has worked across Foreign Exchange
Strategy, Global Investment Strategy and Commodity & Energy Strategy.


ROUKAYA IBRAHIM

STRATEGIST

Roukaya is currently BCA Research’s Strategist, Daily Insights. From 2018 to
2020, she was a Strategist for BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy service. She
has also served as a Strategist for the Commodity & Energy Strategy service.

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SOME OF OUR MID AND LONG TERM CALLS

1986
Be Ready For A Crash


OUR METHOD


FIERY, COLLABRATIVE PROCESS

A research staff of 60+ committed to non-consensus daily debate


CONFIDENCE-INSPIRING FACT BASE

Decades of analysis on over 200,000 data series, which build up to thousands of
proprietary indicators


MACRO EXPERTS WHO CHALLENGE YOU

The push and pull in one-on-one conversation to shape your conviction


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THE BCA RESEARCH APP

OUR APP IS UPDATED DAILY AND AVAILABLE WHENEVER AND WHEREVER YOU ARE

Market-leading investment research directly in your hands. Helping you to make
more informed decisions, faster than ever. With access to Reports, Webcasts,
Podcasts, and BCA Live & Unfiltered.




BCA LIVE & UNFILTERED

To help our clients with their investment decisions, we live-broadcast our daily
research discussions through our BCA Live & Unfiltered (BLU) service.

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BCA CHART EXPLORER

BCA Research Chart Explorer gives you access to over 40,000 proprietary charts,
allowing you to explore the data behind our insights and to help shape your
investment decisions.

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 * Macro Research
   * Multi Asset: Global
     * BCA Live and Unfiltered
     * The Bank Credit Analyst
     * Counterpoint
     * Daily Insights
     * Geopolitical Strategy
     * Global Asset Allocation
     * Global Investment Strategy
     * Private Markets & Alternatives
   * Multi Asset: Regional
     * China Investment Strategy
     * Emerging Markets Strategy
     * European Investment Strategy
     * US Investment Strategy
     * US Political Strategy
   * Single Asset
     * Commodity & Energy Strategy
     * Foreign Exchange Strategy
     * Global Fixed Income Strategy
     * US Bond Strategy
     * US Equity Strategy
 * Platforms & Analytics
   * Platforms & Analytics
     * Equity Analyzer
     * BCA Research Chart Explorer
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