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Effective URL: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-03/investors-are-so-bearish-on-stocks-that-the-market-looks-bullish
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Effective URL: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-03/investors-are-so-bearish-on-stocks-that-the-market-looks-bullish
Submission: On May 04 via api from CH — Scanned from DE
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JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists led by Marko Kolanovic said this week that “investor sentiment is reaching extreme weakness,” meaning a rebound could be on the cards. Meanwhile, a Societe Generale SA sentiment indicator recently dropped to levels last seen during the peak of Covid-19 lockdowns in 2020. “This will likely culminate in a bounce in equities,” Societe Generale strategists Manish Kabra and Arthur Van Slooten wrote last week. Read more: JPMorgan’s Kolanovic Sees Rebound as Bearish ‘Fears Overblown’ Other market technicals could be pointing to a short-term bounce as well. The U.S. put-call ratio’s absolute level is near the highest since January after investors built up hedges into the falling market amid fears of a recession and aggressive tightening. Barring another big shock, this should provide some support to stocks as investors begin to unwind those hedges after the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision on Wednesday. In addition, the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, has been at or above 30 for the past week -- it touched a high of 32.82 on Tuesday. Traders typically consider a reading of over 30 to be a sign of significant fear in the market. More importantly, the spread between two-month and eight-month VIX futures contracts is trading near peak levels seen earlier this year, showing deep uncertainty about the near-term. This indicator of short-term stress has historically been a turning point for risk assets, with volatility topping out in the days leading up to the Fed’s prior three meetings this year. SHARE THIS ARTICLE Copied Follow the authors @JPBarnert + Get alerts forJan-Patrick Barnert + Get alerts forJustin Zacks Have a confidential tip for our reporters? Get in touch Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal Learn more Terms of Service Manage Cookies Trademarks Privacy Policy ©2022 Bloomberg L.P. 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