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* Home * Premium * Contributors * The Market Ear * More * Manifesto * RSS * Donate * Advertise LOGIN -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WHO TULSI GABBARD IS... BY WILLIAMBANZAI7 And Mitt Zombie most certainly is not... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HOW MUCH IS THAT BIG GOLD CUBE WORTH?! BY MONETARY METALS A pop artist made a giant cube out of gold. We wanted to see how much it was worth. Answer: It's not what you think. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CHINA'S "DO-NOTHING APPROACH KEEPS RUSSIA ON LIFE SUPPORT" PLAYS BOTH SIDES AGAINST MIDDLE BY VBL Economic IV drip should keep Russia alive just enough to keep everyone in line. LOGIN Username Password Login Create new accountReset your password This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. ZeroHedge Reads * Acting Man * Alt-Market * Bombthrower * Capitalist Exploits * Christophe Barraud * Dr. Housing Bubble * Daneric's Elliott Waves * Financial Revolutionist * ForexLive * Fundist * Gains Pains & Capital * Gefira * GMG Research * Gold Core * Implode-Explode * Insider Paper * Liberty Blitzkrieg * Max Keiser * Mises Institute * Mish Talk * Newsquawk * Of Two Minds * Oil Price * Open The Books * Pandemic: War Room * Peter Schiff * Quoth The Raven Rsrch * Rebooting Capitalism * Safehaven * Slope of Hope * SpotGamma * TF Metals Report * The Automatic Earth * The Burning Platform * The Economic Populist * The Saker * Themis Trading * Value Walk * Wolf Street * skwealthacademy Expand -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SO MANY RUSSIANS ARE BUYING GOLD THAT CENTRAL BANK HALTS BANK PURCHASES by Tyler Durden Wednesday, Mar 16, 2022 - 03:00 AM Russia's central bank announced that it will suspend purchases of gold from banks due to overwhelming demand from households, Reuters reports. The purchasing pause will take effect Tuesday with no end date set. "Currently, households' demand for buying physical gold in bars has increased, driven, in particular, by the abolition of value-added tax on these operations," reads a statement from the central bank. On Feb. 28, the central bank raised the key rate from 9.5% to 20% as the ruble crashed to record lows amid the Kremlin's so-called "special operation" in Ukraine. The announcement is a flip-flop from a February announcement that the financial authority would resume gold purchases after commercial banks were hit with Western sanctions in response to the invasion. "With the goal of diversifying the central bank's reserves, at the moment there is no sense in building up reserves in gold," according to VTB analysts, who added that the banking sector's structural liquidity deficit had contracted to under 4 trillion rubles (US$36 billion), down from a record 7 trillion rubles. Before the rush into gold, many wealthy Russians had been purchasing luxury items such as watches and other jewelry in order to defend against the ruble's tumble. While cryptos were also purchased aggressively, there is little insight into who much bitcoin Russians currently own. Analysts from BCS suggested that the gold purchases will help reduce the amount of cash in circulation, and will help banks' liquidity. In lieu of funding via gold purchases, Russia's central bank has been providing liquidity to banks through more conventional operations such as holding daily repo auctions at lending institutions. So far, these have proven sufficient. 10,82448 NEVER MISS THE NEWS THAT MATTERS MOST ZEROHEDGE DIRECTLY TO YOUR INBOX Receive a daily recap featuring a curated list of must-read stories. Show Comments WANT MORE OF THE NEWS YOU WON'T GET ANYWHERE ELSE? SIGN UP NOW AND GET A CURATED DAILY RECAP OF THE MOST POPULAR AND IMPORTANT STORIES DELIVERED RIGHT TO YOUR INBOX. Today's Top Stories+ HOT TAKES COURTESY OF THE MARKET EAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BEAT THE CROWD Upgrade to Premium. Real-time around the clock feed that focuses on the important things that move stocks and markets. For professional traders. 17 hours ago at 10:23 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HOW HAS SPX PERFORMED POST VIX FUTS SPREAD SPIKING? Source: Refinitiv The 2/8 months VIX futs spread is trading at very elevated levels. Stress is rich. Note that the SPX has managed bouncing on previous occasions when the VIX futs spread traded at elevated levels. However, he big difference this time around is the fact VIX has actually managed trending higher, despite the actual SPX moves not having moved much more lately. Let's see if Powell can "fix" some of the excess stress... 13 hours ago at 13:56 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SELL LOW, BUY HIGH MANIA See TME's daily newsletter email below. For the 24/7 market intelligence feed and thematic trading emails, sign up for ZH premium here. SPX - what is the pain trade? SPX continues trading stuck in a dynamic wedge like formation. We bounced once again on the strong support levels around the 4140 area. First resistance is coming up just shy of the big 4300 level. Note the negative trend line coming in there as well as the 21 day moving average. Don't forget that short gamma and horrible liquidity remain strong drivers of this market as dealers continue selling lows and buying highs. Imagine the pain should this trade above the negative trend line and the crowd decides to chase the rip... SOURCE: REFINITIV SOURCE: TIER1ALPHA What comes up must come down - oil edition Oil has given back the entire panic move higher. A week ago analysts were competing about the upside px target for oil, but this week most are quiet. On March 8 (here) we pointed out oil volatility was reversing lower and wrote: "Oil "VIX", OVX, is putting in the first down candle since Russia invaded Ukraine. Early signs of less stress going forward?" This only shows the importance of watching all dimensions of an asset. Volatility was the early sign this time around. Note Brent is currently below the 21 day (haven't seen that in a long time). First support is the short term trend line slightly lower and then the 50 day. Second chart shows oil vs OVX (oil volatility). OVX remains elevated. SOURCE: REFINITIV SOURCE: REFINITIV Gold - max frustration Gold has not been spared in the latest commodities reversal. Too many got too excited at recent highs with several investment banks upgrading gold after having missed the "easy" part of the trade. On February 10th we outlined the case for gold needing to reverse and that a frustrating consolidation was about to start (premium email subs, sign up here). We pointed out that extremely elevated gold vols was a great way to enhance yield for "must be longs". Gold is approaching the first support levels around the 1920/1910 area (trading just below the 21 day moving as of writing). Gold lacks a trend and remains stuck in a huge range. 50 day comes in at 1870, but that seems distant. SOURCE: REFINITIV SOURCE: REFINITIV How much of the growth was real, and how much was COVID? "Investors are still trying to ascertain the true impact of the revenue pulled forward by Covid. It’s still unclear what sustainable growth resembles and what margins look like as expenses normalize and the world reopens. Valuation and positioning recalibration from the liquidity-driven multiple expansion induced by the Fed balance sheet enlargement and Covid-related stimulus is also arising. SHOP, DOCU, ROKU, CHWY, ZM & PTON are all underperforming the SPX and CCMP since 3/1/20, with several trading well below pre-Covid levels. There’s also the lingering uncertainty whether Covid has another trick up its sleeve (though the mentality of dealing with Covid has undoubtedly evolved)" (Ron Adler, JPM) Equity investors cascade puking Europe Investors sold a record amount of European equity funds for the second consecutive week, redeeming USD 13.5bn worth of their holdings, more than double the USD 6.7bn record outflow in only the previous week. Bernstein: 1. These are record outflows in dollar terms, but when we adjust for changes in AUM over time outflows were stronger during the global financial crises and in 2010. 2. The duration of outflows in previous crisis periods suggest that there may be further selling to come. 3. However, previous historic periods of selling often followed periods of strong sustained buying activity, a pattern not followed by European equity funds since 2018, so capitulation and recovery in the flow data may follow a different playbook this time. SOURCE: SANFORD BERNSTEIN "Smart" money running lowest net longs since April 2020 The crowd that keeps on under performing has scaled back on net longs...Buy high, sell low? SOURCE: BOFA VIX options liquidity (post the VXX news) There is not direct impact on VIX options from the VXX news yesterday, but liquidity could be affected. GS writes: "A significant proportion of VIX futures liquidity is linked to ETP trading, so a reduction in VXX secondary share trading could lead to reduced liquidity in VIX futures and options. VIX option markets are already large relative to VIX future markets: ahead of today’s VIX expiration, the ratio of options open interest to futures open interest is as high as it has been at any recent point outside the height of COVID." Is there any asset with rising liquidity? SOURCE: GS Your balanced portfolio needs a small allocation to Bitcoin Emphasis on small...GS: "Our analysis suggests that just a small allocation to Bitcoin in a standard US 60/40 portfolio would have enhanced risk-adjusted returns materially since 2014. However, Bitcoin’s strongest performance contribution to the portfolio resulted from isolated rallies in 2017, 2019 and 2020, when it received a major boost from the COVID-19 crisis. Since 2014, Bitcoin has often declined during equity drawdowns, as in 2015, 2018 and 1Q20. These large drawdowns, combined with Bitcoin’s high volatility, have eventually outweighed the benefits of having it in a portfolio at higher allocations. Even with just a 5% allocation in a 60/40 portfolio, Bitcoin drove roughly 20% of the portfolio’s volatility, while US 10y bonds contributed just 2%" SOURCE: GOLDMAN Dry Powder Record high dry powder in private markets. US$ trillions, global SOURCE: PITCHBOOK Asian tech - now that's oversold HSTECH RSI is at the lowest levels ever. Buy some for the kids (or grandchildren) and forget? SOURCE: REFINITIV 6 hours ago at 21:01 Upgrade to Premium Contact Information+ Tips: tips@zerohedge.com General: info@zerohedge.com Legal: legal@zerohedge.com Advertising: Click here Abuse/Complaints: abuse@zerohedge.com Suggested Reading+ Make sure to read our "How To [Read/Tip Off] Zero Hedge Without Attracting The Interest Of [Human Resources/The Treasury/Black Helicopters]" Guide It would be very wise of you to study our disclaimer, our privacy policy and our (non)policy on conflicts / full disclosure.Here's our Cookie Policy. 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