projects.fivethirtyeight.com Open in urlscan Pro
151.101.66.109  Public Scan

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Submission: On September 28 via manual from US — Scanned from DE

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Text Content

UPDATED Sep. 28, 2022, at 3:49 PM


LATEST POLLS

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Recent polling average updates

Senate
WI
Even

NV
+1

NC
+1

OH
+1

GA
+2

FL
+4

AZ
+7

IA
+7

NH
+7

PA
+7

CO
+9

WA
+10

MO
+11

CT
+15

NY
+21

House
MI-10
+5

NE-2
+6

Governors
AZ
+1

NV
+1

OR
+1

WI
+2

GA
+5

FL
+6

NM
+6

TX
+7

ME
+9

MN
+10

OK
+10

PA
+10

MI
+12

CT
+13

CO
+14

IL
+14

NY
+14

OH
+17

NH
+20

MA
+25


How Popular Is Joe Biden?



Approval polling average

Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris?



Approval polling average

Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump?



Favorability polling average

Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress?



Generic ballot polling average


Filter by Poll type, State or Cycle

Poll type

All pollsApprovalFavorabilityGeneric ballotGovernorGovernor recallU.S.
HousePresident: general electionPresident: Democratic primaryPresident:
Republican primaryU.S. Senate

State

All National Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado
Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho
Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts
Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire
New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana
Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South
Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia
Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

District

All

Politician

All

Cycle

20242020


WHO’S AHEAD IN THE NATIONAL POLLS?


AN UPDATING AVERAGE OF 2020 PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION POLLS, ACCOUNTING FOR
EACH POLL’S QUALITY, SAMPLE SIZE AND RECENCY



Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means
candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this
page. Read more about the methodology.



Sort by date

AddedSurveyed

Filter by pollster grade

A+


B+


C+


D+






DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS



V

VOTERS



LV

LIKELY VOTERS



RV

REGISTERED VOTERS



PollsterSponsorResultNet resultDatesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS



V

VOTERS



LV

LIKELY VOTERS



RV

REGISTERED VOTERS



PollsterResult





PRESIDENT: GENERAL ELECTION, 2024

Sep.17-22
1,000LV
Sep.17-22
1,000LV
C/D
McLaughlin & Associates
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump Sr.

51%
51%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+9
Sep.17-22
1,000LV
Sep.17-22
1,000LV
C/D
McLaughlin & Associates
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump Sr.

49%
49%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+4
Sep.20-21
1,368LV
Sep.20-21
1,368LV
A-
Emerson College
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump Sr.

44%
44%
Trump Sr.  Biden+1
Sep.18-21
908RV
Sep.18-21
908RV
A+
ABC News/The Washington Post
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump Sr.

48%
48%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+2
Sep.18-21
1,006A
Sep.18-21
1,006A
A+
ABC News/The Washington Post
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump Sr.

46%
46%
Trump Sr.  Biden+2
Sep.16-19
1,703A
Sep.16-19
1,703A
Premise
Biden
51%
Biden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump Sr.

49%
49%
Trump Sr.  Biden+2
Sep.16-19
1,056RV
Sep.16-19
1,056RV
B/C
Echelon Insights
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump Sr.

43%
43%
Trump Sr.  Biden+4
Sep.16-19
1,056LV
Sep.16-19
1,056LV
B/C
Echelon Insights
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump Sr.

44%
44%
Trump Sr.  Biden+3
Sep.14-15
1,163LV
Sep.14-15
1,163LV
B/C
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump Sr.

42%
42%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+2
Sep.14-15
1,163LV
Sep.14-15
1,163LV
B/C
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump Sr.

40%
40%
Trump Sr.  Biden+3
Sep.14-15
1,500RV
Sep.14-15
1,500RV
B/C
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Harris
36%
Harris
36%

Harris

36%

Trump Sr.

38%
38%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+2
Sep.14-15
1,500RV
Sep.14-15
1,500RV
B/C
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump Sr.

35%
35%
Trump Sr.  Biden+2
Sep.7-14
1,282RV
Sep.7-14
1,282RV
A/B
Marquette University Law School
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

DeSantis

38%
38%
DeSantis  Biden+5
Sep.7-14
1,448A
Sep.7-14
1,448A
A/B
Marquette University Law School
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

DeSantis

35%
35%
DeSantis  Biden+5
Sep.7-14
1,282RV
Sep.7-14
1,282RV
A/B
Marquette University Law School
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump Sr.

36%
36%
Trump Sr.  Biden+6
Sep.7-14
1,448A
Sep.7-14
1,448A
A/B
Marquette University Law School
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump Sr.

36%
36%
Trump Sr.  Biden+4
Sep.6-14
1,399RV
Sep.6-14
1,399RV
A+
Siena College/The New York Times Upshot
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump Sr.

42%
42%
Trump Sr.  Biden+3

avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent


PARTISAN TYPES

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan.
Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate,
party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or
501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity
on behalf of one political party.

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administrations)Vice presidential approval polls (current
administration)Approval polling averagesPresidential general election polls
(current cycle)Presidential general election polls (past cycles)Presidential
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Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters
that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election
since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter.

When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most
recent version is shown.

Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.

Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf,
Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna
Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe,
Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by
Sarah Frostenson. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee.


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PROGRESSIVES TOOK A STEP BACK IN THE 2022 PRIMARIES — BUT THEY’RE PLAYING THE
LONG GAME

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THE POLLS STILL DO NOT SHOW A GOP BOUNCEBACK

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