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THREE STATES WHERE SENATE DEMOCRATS ARE OUTPERFORMING BIDEN THE MOST



By Ramsey Touchberry
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June 1, 2024 6:00 am
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Senate Democratic candidates are faring better in presidential battleground
states than President Joe Biden as the party fights to maintain its razor-thin,
one-seat majority.

The results, while early in the general election cycle, bode well for Senate
Democrats but come with a warning: Biden could drag them down at the ballot box.



One of the biggest reasons is incumbent name recognition, per Amy Walter,
publisher and editor-in-chief of the nonpartisan election forecaster Cook
Political Report. Democratic candidates in swing states with open Senate seats
are outperforming Biden by a smaller margin than incumbents.

Here are the top three states where Senate Democrats are outpacing Biden the
most, according to recent surveys from Cook Political Report conducted in
partnership with polling firms BSG and GS Strategy Group.


NEVADA

Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV) is running for a second term and will face off against
the winner of the June 11 Republican primary. Former Army Capt. Sam Brown is
heavily favored to win against Jeff Gunter, a dermatologist who served as former
President Donald Trump’s ambassador to Iceland.



Rosen’s polling fares 8 percentage points better than that of Biden, with
48%-41% against an unnamed Republican opponent. The president is at just 40% to
Trump’s 49%.


PENNSYLVANIA

In Biden’s birth state, Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) is seeking a fourth consecutive
term against Trump-backed Republican nominee David McCormick.

Casey’s support is 4 percentage points ahead of the president’s. Casey was
49%-41% against McCormick compared to Biden’s 45% to Trump’s 48%.

Despite the vulnerability, Casey stumped with Biden on the campaign trail
Wednesday as the president and Vice President Kamala Harris unveiled a new
initiative in Philadelphia aimed at energizing black voters. Casey recently told
the Washington Examiner that incumbents such as himself can best position
themselves for reelection if they “effectively” communicate their records.



“I think that when you’re running for public office, you’ve got to make the case
to voters about what you’ve done and what you hope to do if you’re, in the case
of an incumbent, what you hope to do if you’re reelected,” he said. “And as long
as you do that and you do it effectively and you communicate with voters, you
should be in good shape.”

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER


WISCONSIN

Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) is running for a third consecutive term and will face
the winner of the Aug. 13 GOP primary. Businessman Eric Hovde, who is endorsed
by Trump, is heavily favored to clinch the nomination.

Baldwin’s polling bests Biden’s by 4 percentage points. She was at 49% to
Hovde’s 37%, compared to Biden and Trump both at 45%.



Mabinty Quarshie and David Sivak contributed to this report.

Washington Examiner
@dcexaminer


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@dcexaminer


DO YOU BELIEVE THE JURY'S DECISION IN THE TRUMP HUSH MONEY TRIAL WAS INFLUENCED
BY POLITICS?

Poll ends in 4 days • Vote below
 * Yes, heavily influenced
 * Somewhat influenced
 * Not influenced at all
 * Unsure about the extent of influence

16193 votes
•
55 comments
v.10.8.3



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