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When will Trump make his VP pick?
Apr 02

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 * WHICH STATES COULD GET NEW CONGRESSIONAL MAPS IN 2024?
   
   An updating tracker of developments in midcycle redistricting.
   
   March 29, 2024
   
   

 * COULD LARRY HOGAN TURN A BLUE SENATE SEAT RED IN MARYLAND?
   
   Personal appeal rarely overrides partisanship these days.
   
   March 28, 2024
   
   

 * STATES ARE CRACKING DOWN ON DEEPFAKES AHEAD OF THE 2024 ELECTION
   
   But they might be missing the most concerning threats.
   
   March 27, 2024
   
   

 * ABC News Photo Illustration, AFP via Getty Images
   
   HAVE AMERICANS EVER HATED TWO CANDIDATES AS MUCH AS BIDEN AND TRUMP?
   
   Why favorability might not matter in the 2024 presidential election.
   
   April 01, 2024




LATEST 538 VIDEO

 * 56:37
   
   
   
   THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION HAS BECOME AN UNPOPULARITY CONTEST
   
   Apr 02, 2024
   
 * 55:36
   
   
   
   ARE US POLITICS UNDERGOING A RACIAL REALIGNMENT? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST
   
   Mar 28, 2024
   
 * 47:54
   
   
   
   IS AN ELECTION VIBE SHIFT UNDERWAY? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST
   
   Mar 26, 2024
   
 * 10:43
   
   
   
   WHO SAID IT: BIDEN, TRUMP OR SOMEONE FROM 'THE BACHELOR'?
   
   Mar 25, 2024
   
 * 59:18
   
   
   
   538 DEBATE CLUB: SHOULD TIKTOK BE BANNED? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST
   
   Mar 22, 2024
   
 * 56:22
   
   
   
   HOW WORRIED SHOULD DEMOCRATS BE ABOUT THE POLLS? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST
   
   Mar 19, 2024
   
 * 47:30
   
   
   
   DO CAMPAIGN STOPS ACTUALLY MATTER? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST
   
   Mar 15, 2024
   
 * 50:19
   
   
   
   DOES GEN Z REALLY CARE MORE ABOUT THAT VIRAL TIKTOK THAN POLITICS?
   
   Mar 12, 2024
   
 * 40:53
   
   
   
   A VERY POLITICAL STATE OF THE UNION | 538 POLITICS PODCAST
   
   Mar 08, 2024
   
 * 38:48
   
   
   
   SUPER TUESDAY BRINGS A COUPLE SURPRISES | 538 POLITICS PODCAST
   
   Mar 06, 2024
   
 * 01:12:45
   
   
   
   WHAT TO WATCH FOR ON SUPER TUESDAY | 538 POLITICS PODCAST
   
   Mar 05, 2024
   
 * 47:04
   
   
   
   WHAT TO MAKE OF THE PROTEST VOTES IN MICHIGAN | 538 POLITICS PODCAST
   
   Feb 29, 2024
   




LATEST 538 HEADLINES


April 02


WHEN WILL TRUMP MAKE HIS VP PICK?

Running mates have historically been announced in July or August.
April 02

April 02


THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION HAS BECOME AN UNPOPULARITY CONTEST

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are both underwater in the
polls with the American public.
April 02

April 01


HAVE AMERICANS EVER HATED TWO CANDIDATES AS MUCH AS BIDEN AND TRUMP?

Why favorability might not matter in the 2024 presidential election.
April 01

March 28


ARE US POLITICS UNDERGOING A RACIAL REALIGNMENT? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

Some voters of color are challenging traditional voter alliances.
March 28

March 28


COULD LARRY HOGAN TURN A BLUE SENATE SEAT RED IN MARYLAND?

Personal appeal rarely overrides partisanship these days.
March 28

March 27


STATES ARE CRACKING DOWN ON DEEPFAKES AHEAD OF THE 2024 ELECTION

But they might be missing the most concerning threats.
March 27

March 26


8 PEOPLE WHO COULD BE TRUMP'S VP PICK

Tim Scott and Kristi Noem headline 538's latest vice presidential draft.
March 26

March 26


IS AN ELECTION VIBE SHIFT UNDERWAY? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

Biden's approval rating is up, and Trump's favorability rating is down.
March 26

March 25


HOUSE MEMBERS SEEM TO REALLY HATE THEIR JOBS

More and more are cutting their congressional careers off early.
March 25

March 25


WHO SAID IT: BIDEN, TRUMP OR SOMEONE FROM 'THE BACHELOR'?

We quizzed the 538 staff with 12 quotes about finding love — or votes.
March 25

March 22


538 DEBATE CLUB: SHOULD TIKTOK BE BANNED?

The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 22

March 22


538 DEBATE CLUB: SHOULD TIKTOK BE BANNED? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 22

March 21


WILL RFK JR. AND THIRD-PARTY CONTENDERS EVEN MAKE THE BALLOT IN NOVEMBER?

A variety of state-by-state rules stand in their way.
March 21

March 20


HOW IVF AND ABORTION ACCESS COULD SHAPE THE 2024 ELECTION

Plus, polls on Biden and Trump job approval and college athlete unionization.
March 20

March 19


HOW WORRIED SHOULD DEMOCRATS BE ABOUT THE POLLS?

Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 19

March 19


HOW WORRIED SHOULD DEMOCRATS BE ABOUT THE POLLS? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 19

March 18


8 PRIMARIES TO WATCH IN OHIO, ILLINOIS AND CALIFORNIA

The GOP primary for Ohio Senate will have big implications for November.
March 18

March 18


HAVE YOUR STUDENT LOANS BEEN FORGIVEN? WE WANT TO HEAR FROM YOU.

We're interviewing people impacted by Biden's student loan forgiveness programs.
March 18

March 15


NO ONE IS COMING TO SAVE US FROM A 2020 REMATCH

Third-party candidates are often overrated at this point in the election cycle.
March 15

March 15


DO CAMPAIGN STOPS ACTUALLY MATTER?

Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 15

March 15


DO CAMPAIGN STOPS ACTUALLY MATTER? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 15

March 14


MANY HALEY VOTERS WON'T BACK TRUMP. THEY WEREN'T GOING TO ANYWAY.

But most Republicans and GOP leaners will stick with the party.
March 14

March 13


TRUMP IS LEADING THE POLLS, BUT THERE'S PLENTY OF TIME FOR BIDEN TO CATCH UP

Early polls are weak predictors, and they're especially noisy this year.
March 13

March 12


DOES GEN Z REALLY CARE MORE ABOUT THAT VIRAL TIKTOK THAN POLITICS?

What is (and isn't) motivating young voters today.
March 12

March 08


A VERY POLITICAL STATE OF THE UNION | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

Biden highlighted the top 2024 campaign issues in his address to the nation.
March 08

March 06


SUPER TUESDAY BRINGS A COUPLE SURPRISES | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

Trump dominates but Haley pulls off win in Vermont.
March 06

March 05


WHAT TO WATCH FOR ON SUPER TUESDAY | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

Plus, how Trump is tightening his grip on the GOP.
March 05

February 29


WHAT TO MAKE OF THE PROTEST VOTES IN MICHIGAN | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

Biden and Trump's easy victories masked discontent in both parties.
February 29

February 25


AFTER SOUTH CAROLINA LOSS, WHAT IS NIKKI HALEY'S PLAN? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST

Without a clear path to the nomination, Haley may be hoping to make a point
about the future of the GOP.
February 25

February 23


OVERSEAS CONFLICTS ARE SPARKING STRIFE IN US PARTY POLITICS | 538 POLITICS
PODCAST

How the wars in Ukraine and Gaza are causing intraparty conflicts and what it
means for the 2024 election.
February 23



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