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Submitted URL: https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00407
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Volume 45, Issue 4
Spring 2021

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April 20 2021


THE RULE OF LAW AND THE ROLE OF STRATEGY IN U.S. NUCLEAR DOCTRINE

Scott D. Sagan,
Scott D. Sagan

Scott D. Sagan is the Caroline S.G. Munro Professor of Political Science and
Senior Fellow at the Center for International Security and Cooperation and the
Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University.

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Allen S. Weiner
Allen S. Weiner

Allen S. Weiner is Senior Lecturer in Law and Director of the Program in
International and Comparative Law at Stanford Law School.

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Author and Article Information
Scott D. Sagan

Scott D. Sagan is the Caroline S.G. Munro Professor of Political Science and
Senior Fellow at the Center for International Security and Cooperation and the
Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University.

Allen S. Weiner

Allen S. Weiner is Senior Lecturer in Law and Director of the Program in
International and Comparative Law at Stanford Law School.

Online ISSN: 1531-4804
Print ISSN: 0162-2889
© 2021 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology.
2021
The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology
International Security (2021) 45 (4): 126–166.
https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00407

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Citation

Scott D. Sagan, Allen S. Weiner; The Rule of Law and the Role of Strategy in
U.S. Nuclear Doctrine. International Security 2021; 45 (4): 126–166. doi:
https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00407

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ABSTRACT

In 2013, the U.S. government announced that its nuclear war plans would be
“consistent with the fundamental principles of the Law of Armed Conflict” and
would “apply the principles of distinction and proportionality and seek to
minimize collateral damage to civilian populations and civilian objects.” If
properly applied, these legal principles can have a profound impact on U.S.
nuclear doctrine. The prohibition against targeting civilians means that
“countervalue” targeting and “minimum deterrence” strategies are illegal. The
principle of distinction and the impermissibility of reprisal against civilians
make it illegal for the United States, contrary to what is implied in the 2018
Nuclear Posture Review, to intentionally target civilians even in reprisal for a
strike against U.S. or allied civilians. The principle of proportionality
permits some, but not all, potential U.S. counterforce nuclear attacks against
military targets. The precautionary principle means that the United States must
use conventional weapons or the lowest-yield nuclear weapons that would be
effective against legitimate military targets. The law of armed conflict also
restricts targeting of an enemy's leadership to officials in the military chain
of command or directly participating in hostilities, meaning that broad
targeting to destroy an enemy's entire political leadership is unlawful.



© 2021 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology.
2021
The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology
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