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POWER BI-BERICHT

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SPP Day-Ahead On-Peak Map

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12.4.2023

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DAM on-pk LMP/MCC - 12/4

North Hub: $33.17/$1.06

South Hub: $29.27/-$3.17




System conditions for Tuesday show morning off-peak congestion the highest risk
period of the day. KS wind will be stronger than OK wind for a few hours,
increasing the pressure on Osage-Webber and Liberal-Texas Co., for a couple of
examples. OK wind ramps up, briefly, and then recedes along with the rest of
system as the afternoon approaches. Light congestion is expected in the evening
hours. Overall that makes for bearish MCCs at South Hub throughout the day.
North Hub sees more risk for positive MCCs as MISO North is cooler relative to
the central plains, boosting the S-N flow that drives NC-S3456 and similar.




We are tracking congestion in the Woodward area as there is a forced outage on
Windfarm Switching Station - Woodward District 138 kV with a listed start of
12/4 3:44 and scheduled end time of12/5 16:00. The line was binding, lightly, up
to the start time. Congestion on Woodward-FPL Switch isn't unheard of these
days, it's just not too common. Mooreland XF is one example element that will
see higher flows throughout this outage. Cedar-Woodward is another one to study.




Saturday and Sunday both saw some very strong RT prints. We are taking a look
for drivers and will share anything notable, if found, in the afternoon reports.
Nothing as of this morning looks like it would indicate that future price spikes
would be related to the weekend events.




The SPP seven-day generator outage forecast is at 17.7GW. 48% of outages are
from natural-gas and 48% from coal.




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 * Transmission Outage Analysis (cont.)
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