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 1. Home
 2. Market Outlook
 3. Today's Market




THE APRIL CPI REPORT MAY SHOCK THE MARKET AND THE FED

May 12, 2024 7:00 AM ETS&P 500 Index (SPX), SP500, DJI, NDXACTV, AFMC, AFSM,
ARKK, AVUV, BAPR, IVOO, IVOV, IVV, IVW, IWC, IWM, IWN, IWO, IWP, IWR, IWS, IYY,
QQQ, SPLV, SPMD, SPMO, SPMV, SPSM, SPUS, SPUU, SPVM, SPVU, SPXE, SPXL, SPXN,
SPXS, SPXT, SPXU, SPXV, SPY, SPYD, SPYG, SPYV, SPYX, SQEW, SQLV, SSLY, SSO,
SSPY, SVAL, SYLD, TMDV, TPHD, TPLC, TPSC, UAUG, UJAN, UMAR, UMAY, UOCT, UPRO,
USMC, USMF, USVM, TBT, TLT, TMV, IEF, SHY, TBF, EDV, TMF, PST, TTT, ZROZ, VGLT,
TLH, IEI, BIL, TYO, UBT, UST, VGSH, SHV, VGIT, GOVT, SCHO, TBX, SCHR, GSY, TYD,
EGF, VUSTX, FIBR, GBIL, UDN, USDU, UUP, RINF, AGZ, SPTS, FTSD, LMBS165
Comments30 Likes
Mott Capital Management
Investing Group Leader
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SUMMARY

 * Hotter-than-expected inflation has put the Fed on a higher for longer policy
   path.
 * The CPI has been rising consistently at roughly 3.5% since summer 2022,
   posing a disinflationary concern.
 * The CPI has been on a linear upward trajectory for 19 months, with little
   deviation, suggesting a sustained trend.

Kent Nishimura/Getty Images News



It seems pretty clear at this point that the path for monetary policy is higher
for longer. Odds for rate cuts have reduced from an unthinkable 7 in January to
just 1, with decent odds for
























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