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</form>Text Content
*
* Eastern Europe
Belarus Russia Ukraine
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
News
Lukashenko collapses a second time, hospitalised in Moscow
News
Leaders from Russia and Central Asia focus on energy and North-South trade at
EAEU summit
Features
INTERVIEW: Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
Data
Russia’s PMI continues to accelerate in May
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
News
Russia set to soon send fertiliser to Nigeria for free, Lavrov says
Features
Is the war finally coming home for ordinary Russians?
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
Features
South Korea emerges as key ammo supplier for Ukraine
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
News
War in Ukraine spills into Russia as drones strike Moscow
* Central Europe
Baltic States Czech Republic Hungary Poland Slovakia Slovenia
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
News
Latvian Foreign Minister Edgars Rinkevics elected president
News
Vote for new Latvian president could break up ruling coalition
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
Opinion
THE VIEW FROM MITTELEUROPA: Turkish result shows that 'all for one and one
for all' is rarely the best tactic to bring down a strongman
News
Czech PPF Group acquires 15% stake in Polish e-commerce company InPost
News
Hungary pushes banks and investment funds to hold more government bonds
News
EP lawmakers overwhelmingly support resolution to strip Hungary of rotating
presidency
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
Data
Disinflation drives slight easing of manufacturing downturn in Poland, PMI
shows
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
Data
Polish GDP confirmed flat in Q1
Features
South Korea emerges as key ammo supplier for Ukraine
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
Opinion
THE VIEW FROM MITTELEUROPA: Turkish result shows that 'all for one and one
for all' is rarely the best tactic to bring down a strongman
Features
Freedom House says Ukraine war threatens democracy across Emerging Europe
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
Opinion
THE VIEW FROM MITTELEUROPA: Turkish result shows that 'all for one and one
for all' is rarely the best tactic to bring down a strongman
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
* Southeast Europe
Albania Bosnia & Herzegovina Bulgaria Croatia Kosovo Moldova Montenegro North
Macedonia Romania Serbia Turkey
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
Features
Freedom House says Ukraine war threatens democracy across Emerging Europe
Data
Southeast Europe tourism concentrated in peak summer months despite efforts
to diversify
Opinion
OPINION: Azerbaijan’s energy diplomacy pivots to the Balkans
Opinion
OPINION: Azerbaijan’s energy diplomacy pivots to the Balkans
News
EBRD cuts regional growth forecasts again but Central Asia still going strong
News
Bosnia’s Republika Srpska has 'action plan for secession' says high
representative
News
Bulgarian Russophiles defy ban and hold Immortal Regiment march in Sofia
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
News
Punches from opposition MPs fail to block Bulgaria’s new pro-Western
government
News
Bulgaria’s main pro-Western parties resume talks on joint government
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
Tech
EU approves €179.5mn aid for Rimac Automobili's robo-taxi project
Data
Southeast Europe tourism concentrated in peak summer months despite efforts
to diversify
News
Kosovo’s PM Kurti defies US demands to withdraw special police from troubled
north
News
Nato to send 700 more troops to Kosovo after violent clashes
News
KFOR forcibly disperses protest in northern Kosovo
News
Kosovan police thwart attempt to take over local government office by force
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
News
European Commission announces enhanced support for Moldova ahead of EPC
summit in Chisinau
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
Opinion
CENUSA: EU anti-corruption sanctions: a useful tool for eastward enlargement
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
Opinion
THE VIEW FROM MITTELEUROPA: Turkish result shows that 'all for one and one
for all' is rarely the best tactic to bring down a strongman
Features
Freedom House says Ukraine war threatens democracy across Emerging Europe
Data
Southeast Europe tourism concentrated in peak summer months despite efforts
to diversify
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
Features
Freedom House says Ukraine war threatens democracy across Emerging Europe
Data
Remittances to North Macedonia reach historic high
News
EBRD cuts regional growth forecasts again but Central Asia still going strong
News
Support for Moldova, solidarity with Ukraine at second EPC summit
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
News
Teachers strike puts Romania’s ruling coalition at risk
bneGREEN
bneGREEN: Clean energy investment is extending its lead over fossil fuels –
IEA
News
Kosovo’s PM Kurti defies US demands to withdraw special police from troubled
north
News
Nato to send 700 more troops to Kosovo after violent clashes
News
KFOR forcibly disperses protest in northern Kosovo
News
Kosovan police thwart attempt to take over local government office by force
Features
Signs of darker regime to come emerge in Erdogan’s first week as re-elected
president
Data
PMI shows Turkey’s manufacturing recovery sustained in May
Blogs
Turkmenistan: Karakum as you are, as you were
Blogs
VISEGRAD BLOG: Macron makes the weather in Eastern Europe
* Eurasia
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia Iran Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Mongolia Tajikistan
Turkmenistan Uzbekistan
News
Leaders from Russia and Central Asia focus on energy and North-South trade at
EAEU summit
Features
Freedom House says Ukraine war threatens democracy across Emerging Europe
News
Pashinyan recognises Nagorno-Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan
Features
Pashinyan plays delicate balancing act with Moscow ahead of EU peace talks
Opinion
OPINION: Azerbaijan’s energy diplomacy pivots to the Balkans
News
Pashinyan recognises Nagorno-Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan
bneGREEN
EBRD 2023: Azerbaijan seeks routes to become green energy supplier to Europe
News
EBRD cuts regional growth forecasts again but Central Asia still going strong
News
Georgian billionaire Ivanishvili wins $926 million from Credit Suisse in
court
Features
Freedom House says Ukraine war threatens democracy across Emerging Europe
Features
Reward from Putin: Moscow cancels visas for Georgia and renews direct flights
News
Georgia's absence from US-led military exercise in Europe raises concerns
News
Iran building nuclear facility so deep in earth US airstrike could not reach
it, analysis concludes
Blogs
TEHRAN BLOG: Iran hit by cost-of-kebabs crisis
News
VTB establishes first direct Russian banking presence in Iran
News
Retired US admiral warns international community will have to respond to Iran
seizing tankers
Features
Investigation uncovers flourishing trade in sanctioned technology flowing
through Kazakhstan to Russia.
News
Leaders from Russia and Central Asia focus on energy and North-South trade at
EAEU summit
Features
Freedom House says Ukraine war threatens democracy across Emerging Europe
News
Xi presents grand development plan for Central Asia
Features
Kyrgyzstan ploughs ahead with foreign agent law, ignores foreign critics
News
Leaders from Russia and Central Asia focus on energy and North-South trade at
EAEU summit
News
Xi presents grand development plan for Central Asia
News
Flurry of investment moves precede milestone China, Central Asia 5+1 summit
Features
Mongolia making achingly slow progress in rare earth elements insiders say
News
EBRD cuts regional growth forecasts again but Central Asia still going strong
Features
EBRD 2023: EBRD meets in Samarkand as Central Asian transformation
accelerates
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Features
Freedom House says Ukraine war threatens democracy across Emerging Europe
News
Xi presents grand development plan for Central Asia
News
Threat posed by Taliban’s huge canal project to Central Asia farmland causing
mounting anxiety
News
Flurry of investment moves precede milestone China, Central Asia 5+1 summit
Blogs
Turkmenistan: Karakum as you are, as you were
bneGREEN
bneGREEN: Biden officials ‘in serious talks’ with Turkmenistan on curbing
vast methane emissions
News
Xi presents grand development plan for Central Asia
News
Threat posed by Taliban’s huge canal project to Central Asia farmland causing
mounting anxiety
Blogs
Turkmenistan: Karakum as you are, as you were
bneGREEN
bneGREEN: Clean energy investment is extending its lead over fossil fuels –
IEA
News
A regional court revokes search warrants in tycoon Usmanov’s German
money-laundering investigation
bneGREEN
bneGREEN: Uzbekistan becomes Central Asia's number one in renewable energy
* Africa
Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Cameroon Central African Republic
Chad Congo Djibouti DR Congo Egypt Eritrea Eswatini Ethiopia Gabon Ghana
Guinea Ivory Coast Kenya Liberia Libya Mali Mauritania Morocco Mozambique
Namibia Niger Nigeria Senegal Sierra Leone Somalia South Africa South Sudan
Sudan Tanzania Tunisia Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Data
Countries most in debt to China
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
Opinion
COMMENT: The diamond industry is in crisis and Botswana is going rogue!
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
News
Burkina Faso's interim president names Russia as 'strategic ally'
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
Wagner-controlled timber company still supplying wood to EU, report reveals
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
Wagner-controlled timber company still supplying wood to EU, report reveals
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
Putin, Zelensky willing to separately host African leaders' peace mission to
end Russia-Ukraine war
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
Putin, Zelensky willing to separately host African leaders' peace mission to
end Russia-Ukraine war
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
News
Russia's Rosatom to begin construction on El Dabaa NPP’s Unit 3 in Egypt
Features
BRICS bloc: EM goldbugs
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Data
Countries most in debt to China
News
Gabon ship registry doubles as country offers safe haven for shadow fleet
carrying Russia’s sanctioned oil
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
Lavrov makes surprise visit to Kenya as Moscow seeks support for Ukraine war
Features
Kenya debt doomsayer dodge backfires
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
Wagner-controlled timber company still supplying wood to EU, report reveals
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
Washington sanctions Wagner Group’s head in Mali
News
US State Department accuses Wagner PMC of attempting to transit weapons to
Ukraine via Mali
News
Wagner-controlled timber company still supplying wood to EU, report reveals
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
Wagner-controlled timber company still supplying wood to EU, report reveals
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
Russia set to soon send fertiliser to Nigeria for free, Lavrov says
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
Putin, Zelensky willing to separately host African leaders' peace mission to
end Russia-Ukraine war
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
ING: IMF remains cautious on world economic outlook
Opinion
IMF: Volatile commodity prices reduce growth and amplify swings in inflation
News
EBRD 2023: Bank to expand into the whole of Africa plus Iraq
Opinion
ING: World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023
Opinion
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LUKASHENKO DECLARES “NO MOBILISATION” IN BELARUS AS MINSK ONCE AGAIN SWITCHES
TACTICS
Lukashenko speaking at the Khatyn memorial on September 23. / Belta.by
By bne IntelliNews September 26, 2022
Speaking to Belarusian state media on September 23 at the Khatyn Memorial,
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko declared that there would be no
mobilisation like the one Russia declared on September 22.
According to Lukashenko, Belarus’ “opponents” were wrongfully claiming that
Belarus would soon begin a similar mobilisation as Russia; to this he said: “We
are not going to mobilise people. This is a lie.” Instead, Lukashenko reiterated
what he’s said several times before this year “We will fight only when we have
to defend our home, our land.”
Lukashenko commented on the various military drills which Belarus has held this
year and on the “people’s militia,” for which he ordered the recruitment of
thousands of people earlier this year.
Lukashenko drew a connection with this and Belarus “studying modern military
operations, adjusting the army and making it more mobile for several years
already,” and with the need to respond to “possible threats and attempts to
commit acts of terrorism,” likely referencing the wave of railway sabotages that
the “Belarusian railway partisans” conducted earlier this year.
During the same speech, Lukashenko made a surprisingly long exposition on the
questions of amnesties and pardons for political prisoners. According to
Lukashenko, he was willing to pardon certain people if they or their relatives
begged him or applied for pardons, and he said that amnesties that reduce the
prison sentences of certain people could come in the future.
Evidently, Lukashenko is attempting to portray himself as a noble, understanding
and responsible leader who takes care of his people. This is a new tactic
compared to what his security forces have been engaged in throughout this and
last year. The split in Belarusian society has become evident even to the Minsk
regime, and it was last seen clearly during Lukashenko’s “history lesson” for
Belarusian students.
This is likely a part of Lukashenko’s tactic to use both a carrot and a stick,
intimidating and repressing the opposition domestically while also keeping up a
human face for his own supporters. In the end, he hopes to break down the will
of both the remaining domestic and the exiled opposition, and perhaps slowly
create a “political thaw” in the coming years.
On the side lines of the UNGA meeting in New York, exiled Belarusian opposition
leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya told Forbes that “our partisans” are ready to
conduct more acts of sabotages as they did against Russia military transports
along Belarusian Railways in Spring this year. In which case the effectiveness
of Lukashenko’s “people’s militia” would be put to the test.
Ukraine on its toes at the Belarusian-Ukrainian border
Earlier in September, Ukraine reinforced its border security with Belarus amid
increased provocations and said that it was ready for “any course of events.”
According to the spokesperson for Ukraine’s Border Service, the situation along
Ukraine’s border with Belarus is stable. However, Ukraine has received
information which could indicate a planned false flag operation on Belarusian
territory or infiltration into Ukrainian territory.
On September 22, 300 sets of Ukrainian military uniforms seized from warehouses
in Kherson Oblast were delivered to GardService in Belarus. GardService is a
Belarusian security company, which according to Ukraine is currently being used
as the base for 130 Russia mercenaries from the Liga PMC who arrived in Minsk
along with weapons and ammunitions on September 20.
Ukraine is for now preparing for “possible subversive operations” in the
vicinity of Pinsk, Ivanovo and Kobrin.
Belarus Foreign Minister Vladimir Makei on a charm offensive in the UN
When the Minsk regime realised that Russia’s invasion would not go according to
plan, it tried once again to position itself as a security guarantor and peace
mediator between Russia and Ukraine in late March. However, when this attempt
failed, Belarusian Foreign Minister Vladimir Makei basically disappeared from
Belarusian state media reporting, while he was frequently featured last year.
Amid the UNGA meeting in New York, Makei has reappeared in the state media news
coverage, and he’s apparently on a new offensive to portray Belarus as a
peaceful country working for everyone’s best interests. Today, Monday 26
September, he met with the UN Secretary-General António Guterres in New York.
During their meeting, Makei “voiced support for the UN efforts to overcome the
global food security crisis,” and “noted that Belarus can play a role in
addressing this issue.”
In May, Lukashenko proposed to Guterres that Belarus’ could allow Ukrainian
grain to pass through Belarus to Lithuanian ports if the West lifted some of its
sanctions. However, this proposal was strongly rejected by Kiev and its Western
allies.
Shortly after meeting with Guterres, Makei made a statement on retaining
channels of communication with the EU despite sanctions. According to Makei,
Belarus remains “committed to dialogue,” adding that Belarus would like to
diversify its economy and politics but said that “unfortunately, we do not see
any readiness on the part of the European Union.”
Clearly this is a signal from Minsk that it wishes to de-escalate the highly
tensed political climate between Belarus and the EU. Most likely, however, this
comes from the regime’s fear of the future effects of the strong Western
sanctions pressure, which is already taking a heavy toll on the Belarusian
economy.
Thus it is not reflective of any real wish for de-escalation, but Minsk is
rather feeling out the EU to see if it’s tired of fighting with the Minsk regime
and will accept that it remains in power. This is the same type of ambivalent
positioning as Belarus had in April and stems from its insecure position of
being completely dependent on the Kremlin, both politically and economically.
For instance, if Minsk was actually interested in a real de-escalation of its
relationship with the EU it would not have detained the EU Chargé d’affaires in
Minsk three weeks ago.
In an interview with FRANCE 24 today, Makei said that “Belarus does not consider
using any weapons against anyone, to say nothing of nuclear weapons.”
According to Makei, Belarus was “absolutely against the use of nuclear weapons,”
saying that “we are interested in ending the conflict as soon as possible. We
are not going to strike.” However, he nevertheless added that Belarus needed to
“take care of its security,” saying that it was worried about the increase in
Nato and US forces in its neighbouring countries.
It’s quite clear that Belarus is not interested in being dragged into Russia’s
invasion of Ukraine any more than it already is. Instead, Lukashenko’s talks of
“studying modern military operations” could rather be put in relation to an idea
of “strategic deterrence,” which bne IntelliNews reported on in May.
However, Lukashenko’s statement on pardons and amnesties should not be
interpreted as a sign of weakness. Rather, it’s a part of the regime’s attempt
to reset the political climate and while a “political thaw” might not be
envisioned to come already next year, Minsk could have its goal set on a “return
to normal” over the course of several years. In the end, therefore, there’s
nothing indicating that the regime in Minsk is prepared to loosen its grip on
power in the country or to decrease its economic and military integration with
Russia, rather it has once again merely switched tactics.
#Belarus #ukrainewar #warukraine #Russia #Ukraine #sanctions #RussiaUkraineWar
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