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SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA, JUNE 21, 2022


GARTNER UNVEILS THE TOP EIGHT CYBERSECURITY PREDICTIONS FOR 2022-23


ANALYSTS EXPLORE THE FUTURE OF CYBERSECURITY AT THE GARTNER SECURITY & RISK
MANAGEMENT SUMMIT, JUNE 21-22 IN SYDNEY

Executive performance evaluations will be increasingly linked to ability to
manage cyber risk; almost one-third of nations will regulate ransomware response
within the next three years; and security platform consolidation will help
organizations thrive in hostile environments, according to the top cybersecurity
predictions revealed by Gartner, Inc. today.

In the opening keynote at the Gartner Security & Risk Management Summit in
Sydney, Richard Addiscott, Senior Director Analyst and Rob McMillan, Managing
Vice President at Gartner discussed the top predictions prepared by Gartner
cybersecurity experts to help security and risk management leaders be successful
in the digital era.

“We can’t fall into old habits and try to treat everything the same as we did in
the past,” said Addiscott. “Most security and risk leaders now recognize that
major disruption is only one crisis away. We can’t control it, but we can evolve
our thinking, our philosophy, our program and our architecture.”

Gartner recommends that cybersecurity leaders build the following strategic
planning assumptions into their security strategies for the next two years.

Through 2023, government regulations requiring organizations to provide consumer
privacy rights will cover 5 billion citizens and more than 70% of global GDP.

As of 2021, almost 3 billion individuals had access to consumer privacy rights
across 50 countries, and privacy regulation continues to expand. Gartner
recommends that organizations track subject rights request metrics, including
cost per request and time to fulfill, to identify inefficiencies and justify
accelerated automation.

By 2025, 80% of enterprises will adopt a strategy to unify web, cloud services
and private application access from a single vendor’s SSE platform.

With a hybrid workforce and data everywhere accessible by everything, vendors
are offering an integrated security service edge (SSE) solution to
deliver consistent and simple web, private access and SaaS application security.
Single-vendor solutions provide significant operational efficiency and security
effectiveness compared with best-of-breed solutions, including tighter
integration, fewer consoles to use, and fewer locations where data must be
decrypted, inspected and re-encrypted.

60% of organizations will embrace Zero Trust as a starting point for security by
2025. More than half will fail to realize the benefits

The term zero trust is now prevalent in security vendor marketing and in
security guidance from governments. As a mindset — replacing implicit trust with
identity- and context-based risk appropriate trust — it is extremely powerful.
However, as zero trust is both a security principle and an organizational
vision, it requires a cultural shift and clear communication that ties it to
business outcomes to achieve the benefits.

By 2025, 60% of organizations will use cybersecurity risk as a primary
determinant in conducting third-party transactions and business engagements.

Cyberattacks related to third parties are increasing. However, only 23% of
security and risk leaders monitor third parties in real time for cybersecurity
exposure, according to Gartner data. As a result of consumer concerns and
interest from regulators, Gartner believes organizations will start to mandate
cybersecurity risk as a significant determinant when conducting business with
third parties, ranging from simple monitoring of a critical technology supplier
to complex due diligence for mergers and acquisitions.

Through 2025, 30% of nation states will pass legislation that regulates
ransomware payments, fines and negotiations, up from less than 1% in 2021.

Modern ransomware gangs now steal data as well as encrypt it. The decision to
pay the ransom or not is a business-level decision, not a security one. Gartner
recommends engaging a professional incident response team as well as law
enforcement and any regulatory body before negotiating.

By 2025, threat actors will have weaponized operational technology environments
successfully to cause human casualties.

Attacks on OT – hardware and software that monitors or controls equipment,
assets and processes – have become more common and more disruptive. In
operational environments, security and risk management leaders should be more
concerned about real world hazards to humans and the environment, rather than
information theft, according to Gartner.

By 2025, 70% of CEOs will mandate a culture of organizational resilience to
survive coinciding threats from cybercrime, severe weather events, civil unrest
and political instabilities.

The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed the inability of traditional business
continuity management planning to support the organization’s response to a
large-scale disruption. With continued disruption likely, Gartner recommends
that risk leaders recognize organizational resilience as a strategic imperative
and build an organization-wide resilience strategy that also engages staff,
stakeholders, customers and suppliers.

By 2026, 50% of C-level executives will have performance requirements related to
risk built into their employment contracts

Most boards now regard cybersecurity as a business risk rather than solely a
technical IT problem, according to a recent Gartner survey. As a result, Gartner
expects to see a shift in formal accountability for the treatment of cyber risks
from the security leader to senior business leaders.

Learn about the top priorities for security & privacy leaders in 2022 in the
complimentary Gartner ebook 2022 Leadership Vision for Security & Risk
Management Leaders. 

Gartner Security & Risk Management Summit

Gartner analysts are presenting the latest research and advice for security and
risk executives at the Gartner Security & Risk Management Summits 2022, taking
place June 21-22 in Sydney, July 25-27 in Tokyo and September 12-14 in London.
Follow news and updates from the conferences on Twitter using #GartnerSEC.

About Gartner for Information Technology Executives

Gartner for Information Technology Executives provides actionable, objective
insight to CIOs and IT leaders to help them drive their organizations through
digital transformation and lead business growth. Additional information is
available at www.gartner.com/en/information-technology.

Follow news and updates from Gartner for IT Executives on Twitter and LinkedIn.
Visit the IT Newsroom for more information and insights.

MEDIA CONTACTS

Susan Moore
Gartner
susan.moore@gartner.com

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